MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Thursday, June 18, 2026

BAL @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
03
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 72°F SunnyWind 11 mph, L To R

BAL Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20@ TB6
May 26vs TB9
Jun 2@ BOS6
Jun 7@ TOR3
Jun 12vs SD1

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+118-151
FDFanDuel+104-138

We project 4.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.3%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)25.3%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)13.9%3.0 PA
4Dominic Canzone (L)18.4%3.0 PA
5Cole Young (L)18.1%3.0 PA
6Colt Emerson (L)23.6%3.0 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)29.6%2.3 PA
8Victor Robles (R)16.5%2.0 PA
9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)24.4%2.0 PA

SEA Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18vs CWS8
May 24@ KC4
May 30vs AZ9
Jun 5@ DET7
Jun 11@ BAL4

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BRBetRivers+104-137
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings-105-121
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+110-134

We project 5.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)21.1%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)21.6%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)17.8%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)22.6%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)22.3%3.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)21.0%2.3 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)25.4%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)25.1%2.0 PA