‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, June 18, 2026
NYM @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
6–4
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 89°F Partly CloudyWind 21 mph, Out To RF
Sean Manaea · LHP
Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF
vs LHB27.1%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.4 BF
Expected batters faced18.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Last 1 GamesStrikeouts
Jun 13vs ATL6
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+118-158
FANFanatics+120-160
DKDraftKings+126-162
BOVBovada+120-160
BRBetRivers+120-162
We project 4.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)18.8%2.4 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)25.3%2.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)22.2%2.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)18.8%2.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)28.0%2.0 PA
6Edmundo Sosa (R)22.7%2.0 PA
7Bryson Stott (L)18.0%2.0 PA
8J.T. Realmuto (R)19.4%2.0 PA
9Derek Hill (R)29.0%2.0 PA
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Last 5 GamesStrikeouts
May 20vs CIN5
May 26@ SD5
Jun 2vs SD8
Jun 7vs CWS4
Jun 13@ MIL3
Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+124-152
DKDraftKings+115-147
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+120-160
BRBetRivers+112-148
We project 4.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)22.1%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)20.2%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)16.1%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)20.3%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)25.4%2.1 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)22.6%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)25.1%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)28.1%2.0 PA
9Francisco Alvarez (R)23.0%2.0 PA