MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Thursday, June 18, 2026

STL @ KC Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
614
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 76°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R

STL Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.1% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 19vs PIT9
May 25@ MIL10
May 31vs CHC4
Jun 6vs CIN4
Jun 13@ MIN4

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-154+116
BRBetRivers-157+118
BOVBovada-150+115

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)22.1%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)15.9%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)24.7%3.0 PA
4Starling Marte (R)23.5%3.0 PA
5Salvador Perez (R)19.8%2.3 PA
6Carter Jensen (L)22.5%2.0 PA
7Nick Loftin (R)17.6%2.0 PA
8Isaac Collins (R)21.9%2.0 PA
9Michael Massey (L)22.7%2.0 PA

KC Noah Cameron · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs SEA8
May 27vs NYY4
Jun 2@ CIN8
Jun 7@ MIN7
Jun 13vs HOU1

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+122-150
FANFanatics+125-165
DKDraftKings+115-147
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers+110-148
BOVBovada+120-160

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)16.9%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)16.6%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)21.3%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)23.6%3.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)14.6%2.6 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)18.7%2.0 PA
7Blaze Jordan (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8José Fermín (R)17.0%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)25.1%2.0 PA