MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Thursday, June 18, 2026

TOR @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
43
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 77°F OvercastWind 8 mph, Out To LF

TOR Trey Yesavage · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20@ NYY8
May 25vs MIA6
May 30@ BAL4
Jun 5vs BAL5
Jun 12vs NYY3

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-172+128
DKDraftKings-164+128
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-170+130

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)19.2%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.6%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)26.8%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)27.0%2.6 PA
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.0%2.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)15.9%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)22.4%2.0 PA
9Andruw Monasterio (R)24.2%2.0 PA

BOS Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18@ KC9
May 24vs MIN4
May 30@ CLE7
Jun 5@ NYY3
Jun 12vs TEX7

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel+106-130
FANFanatics+110-145
DKDraftKings+109-139
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BRBetRivers+105-139
BOVBovada+105-135

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)17.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.4%3.0 PA
3Jesús Sánchez (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)14.3%2.0 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)17.5%2.0 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)31.0%2.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.6%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)23.6%2.0 PA