MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Saturday, June 20, 2026

PIT @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
9:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

PIT Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.2% K / BF

vs LHB28.1%
vs RHB27.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ TOR2
May 28vs CHC10
Jun 3@ HOU7
Jun 9vs LAD7
Jun 14vs MIA10

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
FDFanDuel-112-118
BOLBetOnline-125-103
FANFanatics-120-110
DKDraftKings-122-105
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-105-125
BRBetRivers-122-108

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)19.5%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)22.6%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)26.9%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)16.6%3.0 PA
5Tyler Freeman (R)14.9%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)22.0%2.6 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)25.4%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)20.3%2.0 PA

COL Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.0%
vs RHB16.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22@ AZ3
May 27@ LAD3
Jun 2@ LAA5
Jun 9vs CHC3
Jun 14@ ATH2

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+136-179
DKDraftKings+136-174
MGMBetMGM+135-185
BRBetRivers+132-177

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)16.2%3.0 PA
2Nick Gonzales (R)18.8%3.0 PA
3Ryan O'Hearn (L)21.5%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)26.1%3.0 PA
5Brandon Lowe (L)24.5%2.9 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)21.9%2.0 PA
7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)26.7%2.0 PA
9Billy Cook (R)23.7%2.0 PA