Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?

Paul Skenes (PIT) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against COL. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Paul Skenes (~6.3 K), J.T. Ginn (~6.5 K), Chris Sale (~6.3 K), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~5.7 K), Will Warren (~5.6 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Today

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 63% — a +15% return.

1:10 PM ET

CWSaway

DEThomeTop matchup30 1:35 PM ET

CINaway

NYYhomeTop matchup62 2:20 PM ET

TORaway

CHChomeTop matchup5 4:05 PM ET

SDaway

TEXhomeTop matchup62 4:10 PM ET

WSHaway

TBhomeTop matchup35 4:10 PM ET

SFaway

MIAhomeTop matchup46 4:10 PM ET

MILaway

ATLhomeTop matchup88 7:15 PM ET

CLEaway

HOUhomeTop matchup59 7:15 PM ET

NYMaway

PHIhomeTop matchup51 9:10 PM ET

PITaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 10:05 PM ET

LAAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup95 10:10 PM ET

BOSaway

SEAhomeTop matchup40 10:10 PM ET

MINaway

AZhomeTop matchup37 10:10 PM ET

BALaway

LADhomeTop matchup74

PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 27 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.2% K / BF

vs LHB28.1%

vs RHB27.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ TOR2

May 28vs CHC10

Jun 3@ HOU7

Jun 9vs LAD7

Jun 14vs MIA10

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)19.5%3.0

2. Willi Castro (L)22.6%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)26.9%3.0

4. TJ Rumfield (L)16.6%3.0

5. Tyler Freeman (R)14.9%3.0

6. Cole Carrigg (L)22.0%2.6

7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)25.4%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB25.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ SD4

May 30vs NYY4

Jun 4@ CHC8

Jun 9vs MIL5

Jun 15vs PIT3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)30.2%3.0

2. Nick Madrigal (R)15.2%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)24.2%3.0

4. Vaughn Grissom (R)17.5%3.0

5. Oswald Peraza (R)25.1%3.0

6. Christian Moore (R)30.7%2.6

7. Denzer Guzman (R)19.8%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.7%2.0

9. Jose Siri (R)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.6% K / BF

vs LHB28.2%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 14vs CHC8

May 20@ MIA8

May 28@ BOS8

Jun 4vs TOR6

Jun 10@ CWS6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)22.9%3.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.5%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)25.0%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)18.4%3.0

5. Garrett Mitchell (L)27.0%3.0

6. Andrew Vaughn (R)15.4%3.0

7. Blake Perkins (R)20.3%2.3

8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.0%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)19.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18@ SD8

May 24@ MIL3

May 31vs PHI10

Jun 6vs LAA4

Jun 13@ CWS7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)21.3%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.1%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (L)18.3%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)23.8%3.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.9%3.0

6. Leody Taveras (L)22.4%3.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)25.8%2.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)21.3%2.0

9. Jackson Holliday (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB24.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 19vs TOR3

May 25@ KC3

May 31@ ATH5

Jun 8@ CLE5

Jun 14@ TOR1

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)21.6%3.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)18.2%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)20.9%3.0

4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)22.6%3.0

5. Spencer Steer (R)24.0%2.9

6. Eugenio Suárez (R)28.6%2.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)26.0%2.0

8. Matt McLain (R)26.1%2.0

9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ LAA6

May 28vs HOU6

Jun 2@ STL7

Jun 9@ KC3

Jun 14@ BOS6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.5%3.0

2. Samad Taylor (R)23.1%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)22.7%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)20.5%3.0

5. Gavin Sheets (L)22.1%3.0

6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%3.0

7. Ty France (R)24.5%3.0

8. Will Wagner (L)20.1%2.0

9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB26.3%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22@ CHC5

May 28@ TEX3

Jun 3vs PIT3

Jun 8@ LAA7

Jun 14@ KC7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)18.3%3.0

2. Kyle Manzardo (L)27.7%3.0

3. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.4%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)27.4%3.0

5. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.5%3.0

6. Gabriel Arias (R)28.4%2.4

7. Kahlil Watson (L)22.0%2.0

8. Patrick Bailey (L)23.9%2.0

9. Steven Kwan (L)12.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs CLE6

May 27@ SD9

Jun 3vs SD8

Jun 8@ TOR10

Jun 14@ MIL3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)22.0%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)22.0%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)22.0%3.0

4. Jared Young (L)22.0%3.0

5. A.J. Ewing (L)22.0%3.0

6. Marcus Semien (R)22.0%3.0

7. Brett Baty (L)22.0%3.0

8. MJ Melendez (L)22.0%2.3

9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB26.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20@ CHC11

May 26vs STL2

Jun 2vs SF12

Jun 8@ ATH4

Jun 14vs PHI3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Drake Baldwin (L)21.1%3.0

2. Ozzie Albies (R)12.5%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.3%3.0

4. Dominic Smith (L)19.6%3.0

5. Mauricio Dubón (R)15.4%2.2

6. Austin Riley (R)24.9%2.0

7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)27.6%2.0

8. Eli White (R)19.4%2.0

9. Jorge Mateo (R)26.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs CWS4

May 27vs AZ6

Jun 2@ MIL4

Jun 7@ CHC6

Jun 13vs CHC4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Liam Hicks (L)12.8%3.0

2. Owen Caissie (L)31.2%3.0

3. Heriberto Hernández (R)25.7%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)28.6%3.0

5. Otto Lopez (R)16.5%3.0

6. Jakob Marsee (L)24.2%2.1

7. Connor Norby (R)27.4%2.0

8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)13.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.1% K / BF

vs LHB27.3%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23vs NYM8

May 29@ NYM6

Jun 3@ WSH7

Jun 9vs AZ5

Jun 14@ PIT9

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Luis Arraez (L)7.9%3.0

2. Bryce Eldridge (L)19.8%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)21.0%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)26.8%3.0

5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.4%3.0

6. Willy Adames (R)25.2%2.9

7. Casey Schmitt (R)21.1%2.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)18.3%2.0

9. Daniel Susac (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ MIA9

May 29vs MIA5

Jun 3@ SEA6

Jun 9vs STL5

Jun 14vs ATL2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)22.0%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)22.0%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)22.0%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)22.0%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.0%3.0

6. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.0%2.6

7. Bryson Stott (L)22.0%2.0

8. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.0%2.0

9. Derek Hill (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20@ KC5

May 27vs ATL7

Jun 2vs BAL6

Jun 8@ TB6

Jun 14vs TEX3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)18.9%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (R)24.9%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)20.0%3.0

4. Dominic Canzone (L)22.3%3.0

5. Cole Young (L)20.0%3.0

6. Colt Emerson (L)25.0%2.8

7. Mitch Garver (R)21.2%2.0

8. Victor Robles (R)20.5%2.0

9. Miles Mastrobuoni (L)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.3% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ BOS7

May 29@ PIT6

Jun 3vs CWS5

Jun 9@ DET3

Jun 14vs STL7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)16.9%3.0

2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.7%3.0

3. Corbin Carroll (L)21.9%3.0

4. Gabriel Moreno (R)17.6%3.0

5. Nolan Arenado (R)22.6%3.0

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.1%2.6

7. Jordan Lawlar (R)23.9%2.0

8. LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 21vs NYM9

May 26@ CLE7

Jun 1vs MIA6

Jun 7@ AZ2

Jun 13vs SEA5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)15.6%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.5%3.0

3. Jonny DeLuca (R)20.4%3.0

4. Junior Caminero (R)21.3%3.0

5. Cedric Mullins (L)21.3%3.0

6. Chandler Simpson (L)15.1%2.4

7. Richie Palacios (L)21.5%2.0

8. Taylor Walls (L)26.0%2.0

9. Hunter Feduccia (L)26.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 21@ DET6

May 26vs WSH1

Jun 2@ NYY4

Jun 7@ TEX7

Jun 13vs DET4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)18.0%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)17.8%3.0

3. Christian Walker (R)22.2%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)19.5%2.9

5. Jose Altuve (R)22.1%2.0

6. Yainer Diaz (R)19.7%2.0

7. Cam Smith (R)24.3%2.0

8. Joey Loperfido (L)22.3%2.0

9. Jake Meyers (R)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20vs CWS4

May 26@ ATH3

Jun 1vs NYM7

Jun 8@ BAL3

Jun 14@ WSH2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Mickey Gasper (L)17.7%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.5%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)23.0%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)27.3%3.0

5. Jarren Duran (L)26.4%2.8

6. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)15.9%2.0

7. Caleb Durbin (R)15.9%2.0

8. Connor Wong (R)23.8%2.0

9. Andruw Monasterio (R)25.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.8% K / BF

vs LHB18.8%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

May 24@ BAL3

May 29@ CWS1

Jun 3@ TB5

Jun 9vs MIN5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Miguel Vargas (R)19.1%3.0

2. Randal Grichuk (R)21.5%3.0

3. Chase Meidroth (R)22.2%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.8%3.0

5. Edgar Quero (L)22.7%3.0

6. Junior Perez (R)22.0%2.8

7. Sam Antonacci (L)18.2%2.0

8. Luisangel Acuña (R)21.1%2.0

9. Tristan Peters (L)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB17.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 20@ PHI3

May 27@ NYM4

Jun 2vs KC5

Jun 8@ SD6

Jun 14vs AZ5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ben Rice (L)25.1%3.0

2. Jasson Domínguez (R)21.6%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)17.0%3.0

4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)16.9%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)27.4%3.0

6. Spencer Jones (L)22.0%2.1

7. Anthony Volpe (R)19.0%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)27.8%2.0

9. J.C. Escarra (L)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23vs TEX6

May 29@ TB5

Jun 3vs COL7

Jun 9vs HOU7

Jun 15@ AZ3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zack Gelof (R)24.7%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.3%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.2%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)17.7%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)14.8%3.0

6. Jonah Heim (L)18.2%2.6

7. Carlos Cortes (L)15.4%2.0

8. Henry Bolte (R)22.2%2.0

9. Jeff McNeil (L)17.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22vs ATH4

May 27vs PHI2

Jun 3@ PHI6

Jun 8vs CIN4

Jun 14@ BAL5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)20.4%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)20.6%3.0

3. Wyatt Langford (R)21.3%3.0

4. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.9%3.0

5. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.9%2.3

6. Alejandro Osuna (L)18.9%2.0

7. Jake Burger (R)24.6%2.0

8. Nicky Lopez (L)19.4%2.0

9. Elias Díaz (R)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.5% K / BF

vs LHB16.5%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23vs COL6

May 29@ SEA2

Jun 3vs LAD1

Jun 9@ MIA3

Jun 14@ CIN4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trevor Larnach (L)19.8%3.0

2. Byron Buxton (R)24.7%3.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)21.6%3.0

4. Royce Lewis (R)26.4%3.0

5. Josh Bell (L)21.4%3.0

6. Brooks Lee (L)15.0%2.8

7. Victor Caratini (L)17.6%2.0

8. Tristan Gray (L)25.5%2.0

9. Luke Keaschall (R)18.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.1% K / BF

vs LHB17.1%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 17@ CWS4

May 23vs HOU4

May 28@ PIT5

Jun 3vs ATH3

Jun 9@ COL2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)17.8%3.0

2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.3%3.0

3. Jesús Sánchez (L)21.9%3.0

4. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%3.0

5. Alejandro Kirk (R)16.3%3.0

6. Nathan Lukes (L)17.4%2.1

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)31.6%2.0

8. Davis Schneider (R)26.3%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.0% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 24vs DET2

May 29vs TOR3

Jun 4@ BOS3

Jun 9vs SEA3

Jun 14vs SD4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Tommy Edman (R)20.3%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)22.3%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.5%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)17.1%3.0

5. Miguel Rojas (R)17.9%2.0

6. Kyle Tucker (L)21.4%2.0

7. Alex Call (R)18.9%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)23.2%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (R)27.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB17.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23vs PIT7

May 28@ BAL4

Jun 3@ ATL1

Jun 8vs PHI3

Jun 14vs NYY3

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.5%3.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)18.4%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.6%3.0

4. Seiya Suzuki (R)21.3%3.0

5. Ian Happ (R)26.6%2.0

6. Matt Shaw (R)21.1%2.0

7. Nico Hoerner (R)14.6%2.0

8. Carson Kelly (R)20.4%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.0%

vs RHB16.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 22@ AZ3

May 27@ LAD3

Jun 2@ LAA5

Jun 9vs CHC3

Jun 14@ ATH2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)16.2%3.0

2. Nick Gonzales (R)18.8%3.0

3. Ryan O'Hearn (L)21.5%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)26.1%3.0

5. Brandon Lowe (L)24.5%2.9

6. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.9%2.0

7. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0

8. Jared Triolo (R)26.7%2.0

9. Billy Cook (R)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB26.6%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.9 BF

Expected batters faced15.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 2 GamesStrikeouts

May 15vs MIA2

Jun 8vs BOS5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.9%2.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.1%2.0

3. José Tena (L)22.8%2.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)23.5%2.0

5. Keibert Ruiz (R)17.6%2.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)19.4%2.0

7. Nasim Nuñez (R)20.8%1.9

8. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.0%1.0

9. Jacob Young (R)19.8%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Paul Skenes (PIT) is the top strikeout start on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K, with J.T. Ginn (ATH) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes (PIT) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against COL. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and COL has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

J.T. Ginn (ATH) (95) — about 6.5 K vs LAA: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Chris Sale (ATL) (88) — about 6.3 K vs MIL: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (74) — about 5.7 K vs BAL: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Will Warren (NYY) (62) — about 5.6 K vs CIN: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (62) — about 5.6 K vs SD: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — J.T. Ginn is the arm to exploit it (95).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Will Warren is the arm to exploit it (62).
CLE is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Spencer Arrighetti is the arm to exploit it (59).
MIA is striking out 22% of the time in this spot — Trevor McDonald is the arm to exploit it (46).

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?: Paul Skenes (PIT) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against COL. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Paul Skenes (~6.3 K), J.T. Ginn (~6.5 K), Chris Sale (~6.3 K), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~5.7 K), Will Warren (~5.6 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.