MatchWiz Plays
Strikeouts · Sunday, June 21, 2026

PIT @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
3:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

PIT Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

May 29vs MIN6
Jun 4@ HOU4
Jun 10vs LAD4
Jun 15@ ATH4
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)19.5%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)22.6%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)16.6%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)26.9%2.8 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)17.9%2.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)22.0%2.0 PA
7Edouard Julien (L)25.1%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)25.4%2.0 PA
9Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA

COL Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 23@ AZ5
May 29vs SF2
Jun 3@ LAA5
Jun 10vs CHC7
Jun 15@ CHC5
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)16.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)24.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)21.5%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)18.8%2.6 PA
6Tyler Callihan (L)24.9%2.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)18.0%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)26.7%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.9%2.0 PA