MatchWiz Plays
Total Bases · Sunday, June 21, 2026

WSH @ TB Total Bases matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
vs
1:40 PM EDT
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft

WSH WSH Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from WSH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41931 BF
Season.353201 BF
Last 2 Years.361653 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %26%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33318 BF
Season.389139 BF
Last 2 Years.391704 BF
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.436

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.51243 PA
Season.463240 PA
Last 2 Years.415913 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15vs KC2
Jun 16vs KC1
Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.370

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41931 PA
Season.353201 PA
Last 2 Years.361653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.310

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.273143 PA
Season.319800 PA
Last 2 Years.3312459 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.390
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Total Bases2 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.846

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.322

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA
Season.365126 PA
Last 2 Years.340285 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15vs KC1
Jun 16vs KC4
Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.368

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33318 PA
Season.389139 PA
Last 2 Years.391704 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.351

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.354212 PA
Season.3471035 PA
Last 2 Years.3482980 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.579

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.350

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.2504 PA
Last 2 Years.282117 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 6@ AZ0
Jun 9@ SF0
Jun 10@ SF0
Jun 13vs SEA2
Jun 20@ TB1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.368

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33318 PA
Season.389139 PA
Last 2 Years.391704 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.351

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.354212 PA
Season.3471035 PA
Last 2 Years.3482980 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.609

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.382

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.28938 PA
Season.449225 PA
Last 2 Years.414872 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15vs KC0
Jun 16vs KC1
Jun 17vs KC2
Jun 19@ TB4
Jun 20@ TB4

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.370

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41931 PA
Season.353201 PA
Last 2 Years.361653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.310

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.273143 PA
Season.319800 PA
Last 2 Years.3312459 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-7

Total Bases4 in 8 PA
Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.615

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.340

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.31638 PA
Season.31573 PA
Last 2 Years.320406 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15vs KC4
Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 17vs KC1
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB5

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.368

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33318 PA
Season.389139 PA
Last 2 Years.391704 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.351

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.354212 PA
Season.3471035 PA
Last 2 Years.3482980 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.273
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Total Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.516

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.412

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.44738 PA
Season.418232 PA
Last 2 Years.455506 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15vs KC1
Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.370

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41931 PA
Season.353201 PA
Last 2 Years.361653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.310

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.273143 PA
Season.319800 PA
Last 2 Years.3312459 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.58

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.362

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.36025 PA
Season.377175 PA
Last 2 Years.311659 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 14vs SEA4
Jun 15vs KC0
Jun 16vs KC1
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.368

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33318 PA
Season.389139 PA
Last 2 Years.391704 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.351

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.354212 PA
Season.3471035 PA
Last 2 Years.3482980 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Total Bases0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.464

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.346

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.54831 PA
Season.222176 PA
Last 2 Years.234278 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15vs KC2
Jun 16vs KC6
Jun 17vs KC2
Jun 19@ TB1
Jun 20@ TB3

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.370

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41931 PA
Season.353201 PA
Last 2 Years.361653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.310

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.273143 PA
Season.319800 PA
Last 2 Years.3312459 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %24%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.358

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs RHP.390

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.43523 PA
Season.422102 PA
Last 2 Years.355529 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 14vs SEA6
Jun 15vs KC1
Jun 17vs KC1
Jun 19@ TB1
Jun 20@ TB1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.370

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41931 PA
Season.353201 PA
Last 2 Years.361653 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.310

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.273143 PA
Season.319800 PA
Last 2 Years.3312459 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Total Bases2 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.408

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TB TB Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 BF
Season.46037 BF
Last 2 Years.40452 BF
wOBA allowed.383
Hard-Hit %19%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 BF
Season.30984 BF
Last 2 Years.258167 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.384

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.28628 PA
Season.42492 PA
Last 2 Years.503330 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15@ LAD0
Jun 16@ LAD1
Jun 17@ LAD2
Jun 19vs WSH2
Jun 20vs WSH2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.317

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 PA
Season.30984 PA
Last 2 Years.258167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.356

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.339195 PA
Season.3561195 PA
Last 2 Years.3983812 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.701

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.304

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20824 PA
Season.24797 PA
Last 2 Years.275207 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15@ LAD2
Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD2
Jun 19vs WSH4
Jun 20vs WSH1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.409

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 PA
Season.46037 PA
Last 2 Years.40452 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.426

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.486185 PA
Season.3891117 PA
Last 2 Years.4003199 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.67

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.314

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.21470 PA
Last 2 Years.310248 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 14@ LAA2
Jun 15@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD1
Jun 19vs WSH1
Jun 20vs WSH1

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.409

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 PA
Season.46037 PA
Last 2 Years.40452 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.426

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.486185 PA
Season.3891117 PA
Last 2 Years.4003199 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.654

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.374

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.33321 PA
Season.38092 PA
Last 2 Years.428313 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15@ LAD3
Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD1
Jun 19vs WSH2
Jun 20vs WSH3

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.317

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 PA
Season.30984 PA
Last 2 Years.258167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.356

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.339195 PA
Season.3561195 PA
Last 2 Years.3983812 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.57

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.343

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.32025 PA
Last 2 Years.24154 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 13@ LAA0
Jun 14@ LAA2
Jun 17@ LAD1
Jun 19vs WSH2
Jun 20vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.409

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 PA
Season.46037 PA
Last 2 Years.40452 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.426

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.486185 PA
Season.3891117 PA
Last 2 Years.4003199 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.642

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.289

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.23191 PA
Last 2 Years.260204 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 14@ LAA1
Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH1
Jun 20vs WSH2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.409

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 PA
Season.46037 PA
Last 2 Years.40452 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.426

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.486185 PA
Season.3891117 PA
Last 2 Years.4003199 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.260
Hard-Hit %22%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.473

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.353

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.33321 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 7@ MIA1
Jun 13@ LAA0
Jun 14@ LAA5
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 20vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.409

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 PA
Season.46037 PA
Last 2 Years.40452 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.426

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.486185 PA
Season.3891117 PA
Last 2 Years.4003199 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Total Bases1 in 1 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.565

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.335

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.23113 PA
Last 2 Years.13537 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 7@ MIA1
Jun 13@ LAA0
Jun 14@ LAA1
Jun 17@ LAD2
Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.409

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.64314 PA
Season.46037 PA
Last 2 Years.40452 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.426

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.486185 PA
Season.3891117 PA
Last 2 Years.4003199 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.488

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Total Bases / PA vs LHP.290

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17617 PA
Season.17978 PA
Last 2 Years.247223 PA

Last 5 GamesTotal Bases

Jun 15@ LAD0
Jun 16@ LAD1
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH1
Jun 20vs WSH2

Opposing Starter · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.317

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24025 PA
Season.30984 PA
Last 2 Years.258167 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Total Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.356

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.339195 PA
Season.3561195 PA
Last 2 Years.3983812 PA

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.286
Hard-Hit %24%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Total Bases1.205

A rough estimate of total bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.