MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Sunday, June 21, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is piling up fantasy points at 2.271 fantasy/PA against righties this year — and 2.000 over the last two weeks, a strong bat worth about 1.96 fantasy points a trip. And Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties lately — 1.952 fantasy points per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .250 in 12 career PA against Michael Lorenzen. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Willi Castro (COL) (92) vs RHP Jared Jones: a solid bat at 1.788 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.900), hitter's park.
- TJ Rumfield (COL) (91) vs RHP Jared Jones: a solid bat at 1.839 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.900), hitter's park.
- Spencer Horwitz (PIT) (91) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at 1.713 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.952), hitter's park.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (88) vs RHP Jared Jones: a solid bat at 1.644 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (2.900), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Bryan Reynolds (PIT) (86) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at 1.805 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.952), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (81) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: an excellent bat at 2.241 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (1.591).
- Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) (78) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at 1.746 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.952), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- RHP Jared Jones has been getting lit up by righties — 2.180 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Willi Castro (COL), TJ Rumfield (COL), and Jake McCarthy (COL).
- RHP Kai-Wei Teng has been getting lit up by righties — 2.128 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Travis Bazzana (CLE), Kyle Manzardo (CLE), and Brayan Rocchio (CLE).
- RHP Jack Perkins has been getting lit up by righties — 2.029 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Nolan Schanuel (LAA).
- RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties — 1.990 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Bryan Reynolds (PIT).
Platoon edges to target
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, 2.271 against righties this year.
- Willi Castro (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.711 against righties this year.
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.911 against righties this year.
- Spencer Horwitz (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.838 against righties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.747 against righties this year.
Best parks for fantasy points today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% fantasy park). Top bat there: Brandon Lowe (PIT) at 100.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.