Best MLB Hits Matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026
Top hits spot: Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth (CWS) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Robbie Ray. The righty is hitting .321 H/PA against lefties this year — and .400 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 27% of his trips. And Robbie Ray has been getting tattooed by lefties lately — .325 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .167 in 6 career PA against Robbie Ray, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (89) vs LHP Jose Quintana: a solid bat at .242 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.324), hot bat.
- Ildemaro Vargas (AZ) (86) vs LHP Jose Quintana: an excellent bat at .284 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.324), due to bounce back.
- Justin Foscue (TEX) (86) vs LHP Reid Detmers: an excellent bat at .282 into an arm tough on the same side (.189).
- Alejandro Osuna (TEX) (83) vs LHP Reid Detmers: a solid bat at .250 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.400).
- Miguel Vargas (CWS) (81) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a strong bat at .259 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.325).
- Daulton Varsho (TOR) (81) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a strong bat at .254 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.267), due to bounce back.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (80) vs LHP Noah Schultz: an excellent bat at .277 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.250).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Trevor Rogers has been vulnerable to lefties — .271 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Vierling (DET), Kevin McGonigle (DET), and Dillon Dingler (DET).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .269 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nico Hoerner (CHC), Alex Bregman (CHC), and Seiya Suzuki (CHC).
Platoon edges to target
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .321 against lefties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .242 against lefties this year.
- Ildemaro Vargas (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .362 against lefties this year.
- Justin Foscue (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .545 against lefties this year.
- Miguel Vargas (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .262 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Ketel Marte (AZ), William Contreras (MIL), Nick Kurtz (ATH), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Junior Caminero (TB), and Willson Contreras (BOS). Cold but due to bounce back: Ildemaro Vargas (AZ), Daulton Varsho (TOR), Matt Vierling (DET), Carson Benge (NYM), and Trea Turner (PHI).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Chase Meidroth finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.