Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, May 26, 2026
Top hits spot: Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte (AZ) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tyler Mahle. The lefty is hitting .248 H/PA against righties this year — and .463 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 29% of his trips. And Tyler Mahle has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .375 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Tyler Mahle too — .500 across 16 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Konnor Griffin (PIT) (97) vs LHP Jordan Wicks: a strong bat at .254 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
- Jared Triolo (PIT) (90) vs LHP Jordan Wicks: a solid bat at .248 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
- Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT) (87) vs LHP Jordan Wicks: a strong bat at .253 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (84) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: an excellent bat at .286 into an arm tough on the same side (.185).
- Jesús Sánchez (TOR) (84) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: an excellent bat at .290 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.355).
- William Contreras (MIL) (82) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: an excellent bat at .275 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.476), hot bat.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (82) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .235 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.526).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Aaron Nola has been getting tattooed by righties — .295 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Miguel Andujar (SD), and Xander Bogaerts (SD).
- LHP Jordan Wicks has been vulnerable to lefties — .277 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Konnor Griffin (PIT), Jared Triolo (PIT), and Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT).
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .273 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Max Muncy (LAD), and Kyle Tucker (LAD).
- RHP Michael McGreevy has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: William Contreras (MIL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Christian Yelich (MIL).
Platoon edges to target
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .248 against righties this year.
- Konnor Griffin (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .256 against lefties this year.
- Jared Triolo (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year.
- Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .268 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Ketel Marte (AZ), William Contreras (MIL), Corbin Carroll (AZ), Junior Caminero (TB), Willson Contreras (BOS), and Ernie Clement (TOR). Cold but due to bounce back: Konnor Griffin (PIT), Jared Triolo (PIT), Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT), Bryce Harper (PHI), and Nick Gonzales (PIT).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Ketel Marte finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.