Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, June 2, 2026
Top hits spot: Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement (TOR) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Bryce Elder. The righty is hitting .310 H/PA against righties this year — and .395 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 30% of his trips. And Bryce Elder has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .600 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Bryce Elder too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (98) vs RHP Cam Schlittler: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.292).
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (96) vs LHP Richard Lovelady: an elite bat at .309 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.400).
- Nico Hoerner (CHC) (94) vs LHP Gage Jump: a strong bat at .263 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.500).
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (93) vs LHP Joey Cantillo: an excellent bat at .287 into an arm tough on the same side (.160), hot bat.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (92) vs RHP Jack Flaherty: a strong bat at .266 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.421).
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) (91) vs LHP Connor Prielipp: an excellent bat at .271 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.357).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (91) vs RHP Michael Soroka: a strong bat at .255 into an arm tough on the same side (.200), hot bat.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Bryce Elder has been getting tattooed by righties — .305 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ernie Clement (TOR), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR), and George Springer (TOR).
- LHP Gage Jump has been getting tattooed by lefties — .301 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nico Hoerner (CHC), Alex Bregman (CHC), and Seiya Suzuki (CHC).
- RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .263 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Miguel Andujar (SD), and Gavin Sheets (SD).
- RHP Jack Flaherty has been vulnerable to righties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Chandler Simpson (TB), Jonathan Aranda (TB), and Junior Caminero (TB).
Platoon edges to target
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .282 against righties this year.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .459 against lefties this year.
- Nico Hoerner (CHC) — righty bat vs LHP, .269 against lefties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .288 against lefties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .292 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Ben Rice (NYY), Donovan Walton (LAA), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Vaughn Grissom (LAA). Cold but due to bounce back: Brandon Marsh (PHI), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), Nick Madrigal (LAA), Miguel Andujar (SD), and Taylor Ward (BAL).
How it played out
8 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Ernie Clement finished with 2 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.