Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Top hits spot: Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler (LAA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is hitting .313 H/PA against righties this year — and .313 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 27% of his trips. And Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .450 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Michael Lorenzen too — .500 across 6 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) (92) vs RHP Grant Holmes: an excellent bat at .287 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.300), hot bat.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (88) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an excellent bat at .286 into an arm tough on the same side (.200).
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (88) vs LHP Andrew Alvarez: an elite bat at .316 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.240).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (87) vs RHP Zac Gallen: a strong bat at .255 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.320), hot bat.
- Donovan Walton (LAA) (83) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .265 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.450), hot bat.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (82) vs RHP Chris Bassitt: a strong bat at .262 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.222).
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (82) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm tough on the same side (.125).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties — .309 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Wade Meckler (LAA), Donovan Walton (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA).
- RHP Walker Buehler has been giving up plenty to righties — .259 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Marsh (PHI), Bryce Harper (PHI), and Kyle Schwarber (PHI).
- RHP Zac Gallen has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Andy Pages (LAD).
- RHP Erick Fedde has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Brooks Lee (MIN), Josh Bell (MIN), and Trevor Larnach (MIN).
Platoon edges to target
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .313 against righties this year.
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) — lefty bat vs RHP, .296 against righties this year.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .306 against lefties this year.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .460 against lefties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .228 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Nathan Lukes (TOR), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Donovan Walton (LAA), Jarren Duran (BOS), Ernie Clement (TOR), and Troy Johnston (COL). Cold but due to bounce back: Willson Contreras (BOS), Myles Straw (TOR), Luke Raley (SEA), Kyle Schwarber (PHI), and J.P. Crawford (SEA).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Wade Meckler finished with 4 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.