Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Top hits spot: Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Anthony Kay. The righty is hitting .347 H/PA against lefties this year — and .600 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a hit in about 31% of his trips. And Anthony Kay has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Anthony Kay. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (83) vs RHP Shohei Ohtani: an excellent bat at .277 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (83) vs RHP Peter Lambert: an excellent bat at .277 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.294).
- Carson Benge (NYM) (82) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: a strong bat at .261 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.412).
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (82) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .268 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (81) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a strong bat at .250 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (79) vs RHP Andrew Painter: an excellent bat at .282 into an arm tough on the same side (.200).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (76) vs RHP Gavin Williams: a strong bat at .266 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Nick Lodolo has been vulnerable to lefties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Carson Benge (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Bo Bichette (NYM).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .272 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Kerry Carpenter (DET).
- RHP Kyle Leahy has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Samad Taylor (SD), and Jackson Merrill (SD).
- LHP Sam Aldegheri has been giving up plenty to lefties — .255 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Geraldo Perdomo (AZ).
Platoon edges to target
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .347 against lefties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .256 against righties this year.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .267 against righties this year.
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .252 against righties this year.
- Ernie Clement (TOR) — righty bat vs LHP, .259 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Liam Hicks (MIA), Dominic Canzone (SEA), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Alec Burleson (STL). Cold but due to bounce back: Xavier Edwards (MIA), Troy Johnston (COL), Brayan Rocchio (CLE), David Fry (CLE), and Michael Busch (CHC).
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.