Who has the best home runs matchup today (Wednesday, April 15, 2026)?

Aaron Judge (NYY) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Jack Kochanowicz. Big-time bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hitter matchups today?

The top home runs matchups on Wednesday, April 15, 2026: Aaron Judge (100), Nick Kurtz (93), Brandon Lowe (92), Ben Rice (88), Ketel Marte (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game.

Did the top home runs matchup get a home run on Wednesday, April 15, 2026?

Yes — Aaron Judge got 1 home run.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .020 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .128 against righties this year. Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .080 against righties this year. Ketel Marte (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .077 against righties this year. Corey Seager (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .075 against righties this year.

How is the home runs matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's home runs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does HR/PA mean?

It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end in a home run. Around .030 (3%) is league average. Elite power runs .065+. We measure it per trip to the plate, which is what a daily matchup comes down to.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a home run.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a home run.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a home run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for home runs props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ HR" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a home run a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Home Runs Board · Archive

Best MLB home runs matchups — Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Every slugger on the Wednesday, April 15, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by home run upside against today's matchup. Power, the park, handedness splits, and how this arm gives up the long ball. Results show how each call played out.

Final · 8–5

AZaway

BALhomeTop matchup86 Final · 3–5

CLEaway

STLhomeTop matchup59 Final · 9–5

BOSaway

MINhomeTop matchup37 Final · 1–2

KCaway

DEThomeTop matchup58 Final · 0–2

WSHaway

PIThomeTop matchup92 Final · 3–8

SFaway

CINhomeTop matchup55 Final · 11–2

CHCaway

PHIhomeTop matchup76 Final · 4–5

LAAaway

NYYhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–6

MIAaway

ATLhomeTop matchup72 Final · 8–3

TBaway

CWShomeTop matchup54 Final · 1–2

TORaway

MILhomeTop matchup57 Final · 1–3

COLaway

HOUhomeTop matchup68 Final · 6–7

SEAaway

SDhomeTop matchup61 Final · 5–6

TEXaway

ATHhomeTop matchup93 Final · 2–8

NYMaway

LADhomeTop matchup62

#Hitter · MatchupScore

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA

Season.05455 PA

Last 2 Years.0771041 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA

Season.00041 PA

Last 2 Years.025358 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA

Season.015329 PA

Last 2 Years.0343612 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.375

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.45

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.27

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.02049 PA

Last 2 Years.073385 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA

Season.08324 PA

Last 2 Years.038210 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033183 PA

Season.033242 PA

Last 2 Years.0303604 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143

Plate Appearances7

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.257

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA

Season.12847 PA

Last 2 Years.062777 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA

Season.04643 PA

Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.065200 PA

Season.052248 PA

Last 2 Years.0362759 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.254

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA

Season.08050 PA

Last 2 Years.049594 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.00031 PA

Last 2 Years.039492 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA

Season.034204 PA

Last 2 Years.0282104 PA