Best MLB Home Runs Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026
Top home runs spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is going deep on .093 HR/PA against lefties this year — and .200 over the last two weeks, big-time bat that turns into a home run in about 5% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been keeping the ball in the park against lefties lately — .024 home runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (96) vs LHP Shane Drohan: real bat at .049 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—).
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (94) vs RHP Joey Estes: big-time bat at .050 into an arm with little track record against the same side (—), due to bounce back.
- James Wood (WSH) (86) vs RHP Luis Castillo: real bat at .041 into an arm homer-prone to the same side (.042).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (83) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: real bat at .044 into an arm getting taken deep by the same side (.071).
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (82) vs RHP Lake Bachar: real bat at .046 into an arm homer-prone to the same side (.045).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (82) vs LHP Noah Cameron: real bat at .044 into an arm keeping the ball in the park against the same side (.000).
- Pete Alonso (BAL) (79) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: real bat at .045 into an arm getting taken deep by the same side (.071).
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .093 against lefties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .060 against righties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .070 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .062 against righties this year.
- Colson Montgomery (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .063 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these home runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's home runs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.