MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

MIA @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
9:40 PM EDT
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft

MIA Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB12.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload26.2 BF

Expected batters faced26.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Sandy Alcantara's full player page →
ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shea Langeliers (R)11.6%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)14.3%3.0 PA
3Colby Thomas (R)11.0%3.0 PA
4Jonah Heim (L)11.5%3.0 PA
5Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Lawrence Butler (L)13.7%3.0 PA
7Henry Bolte (R)8.3%3.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)9.7%3.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)14.4%2.2 PA

ATH Aaron Civale · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.3%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Aaron Civale's full player page →
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)13.4%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.5%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)12.3%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)12.2%3.0 PA
5Griffin Conine (L)12.3%2.1 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)14.0%2.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)10.1%2.0 PA
8Javier Sanoja (R)12.1%2.0 PA
9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA