MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Athletics

Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale — 5-5, 5.05 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
5.05
5-5 · 48 K, 1.58 WHIP
Games graded
14
this season, box-score final
Aaron Civale
PBats RThrows RAthletics

Today's matchup

Aaron isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Aaron struck out 2 over 5.0 innings, 4 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Aaron's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Aaron has 13 strikeouts in 21.0 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Aaron's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Sunday, June 28@ LAA5.02741
Tuesday, June 23@ SF4.05620
Wednesday, June 17vs PIT3.02962
Monday, May 25vs SEA4.02971
Wednesday, May 20@ LAA5.02552
Friday, May 15vs SF5.02621
Saturday, May 9@ BAL5.06603
Sunday, May 3vs CLE6.03712
Tuesday, April 28vs KC5.03501
Wednesday, April 22@ SEA5.35631
Friday, April 17vs CWS4.741151
Sunday, April 12@ NYM5.73400

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).