‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026
DET @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026
DET
Detroit Tigers
vs
3:30 PM EDT
TEX
Texas Rangers
◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft
Casey Mize · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB10.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.7 BF
Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)13.0%3.0 PA
2Josh Smith (L)10.6%3.0 PA
3Josh Jung (R)11.2%2.7 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)10.9%2.0 PA
5Alejandro Osuna (L)10.0%2.0 PA
6Ezequiel Duran (R)11.2%2.0 PA
7Evan Carter (L)12.1%2.0 PA
8Elias Díaz (R)10.8%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)11.1%2.0 PA
Kumar Rocker · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.6%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.1%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)13.7%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.5%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)14.1%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)10.7%2.5 PA
6Colt Keith (L)12.3%2.0 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8Ben Malgeri (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9James Outman (L)10.2%2.0 PA