MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

HOU @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
vs
6:45 PM EDT
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft

HOU Tatsuya Imai · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB11.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Tatsuya Imai's full player page →
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)16.3%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)16.3%2.9 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)12.0%2.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)13.9%2.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.9%2.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)13.2%2.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.5%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)11.3%2.0 PA

WSH Andrew Alvarez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.2 BF

Expected batters faced18.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Andrew Alvarez's full player page →
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)12.6%2.2 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)12.0%2.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)10.4%2.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)12.2%2.0 PA
5LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)11.5%2.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)12.3%2.0 PA
7Yainer Diaz (R)12.0%2.0 PA
8Braden Shewmake (L)9.6%2.0 PA
9Brice Matthews (R)10.1%2.0 PA