MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Washington Nationals

Andrew Alvarez

Andrew Alvarez — 2-1, 3.05 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
3.05
2-1 · 48 K, 1.38 WHIP
Games graded
11
this season, box-score final
Andrew Alvarez
PBats LThrows LWashington Nationals

Today's matchup

Andrew isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Andrew struck out 6 over 4.7 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Andrew's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Andrew has 26 strikeouts in 21.0 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Andrew's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Wednesday, July 1@ BOS4.76201
Friday, June 26@ BAL4.35623
Sunday, June 21@ TB4.06410
Monday, June 15vs KC4.05511
Tuesday, June 9@ SF4.04525
Wednesday, June 3vs MIA4.75411
Friday, May 29vs SD3.01532
Sunday, May 24@ ATL1.31101
Wednesday, May 20vs NYM4.05221
Friday, May 15vs BAL3.05321
Sunday, April 19vs SF4.35400

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).