‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026
KC @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
vs
7:10 PM EDT
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft
Seth Lugo · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.7%
vs RHB14.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1A.J. Ewing (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)13.4%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Francisco Lindor (L)13.3%3.0 PA
5Carson Benge (L)11.3%3.0 PA
6Jared Young (L)11.2%2.2 PA
7Francisco Alvarez (R)10.9%2.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Ronny Mauricio (L)10.3%2.0 PA