MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Kansas City Royals

Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo — 3-6, 4.20 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
4.20
3-6 · 76 K, 1.38 WHIP
Games graded
17
this season, box-score final
Seth Lugo
PBats RThrows RKansas City Royals

Today's matchup

Seth isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Seth struck out 7 over 6.0 innings, 3 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Seth's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Seth has 16 strikeouts in 25.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Seth's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Wednesday, July 1vs TB6.07930
Thursday, June 25@ TB5.03772
Friday, June 19vs STL6.00513
Wednesday, June 10vs TEX3.32311
Thursday, June 4@ MIN5.04651
Saturday, May 30@ TEX6.06610
Sunday, May 24vs SEA6.33632
Monday, May 18vs BOS6.05522
Wednesday, May 13@ CWS5.04852
Thursday, May 7vs CLE4.05744
Saturday, May 2@ SEA6.06822
Sunday, April 26vs LAA6.331471

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).