MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Monday, March 30, 2026

NYM @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Monday, March 30, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
42
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 84°F ClearWind 14 mph, Out To LF

NYM Clay Holmes · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.3%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-130+100
BRBetRivers-124-107
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-117-109
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-132+100
MBMyBookie-133-104

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Clay Holmes's full player page →
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)20.0%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.0%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)17.7%3.0 PA
4Masyn Winn (R)22.2%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)24.7%3.0 PA
6Jordan Walker (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)21.7%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)21.4%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)22.6%2.0 PA

STL Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-122-106
BRBetRivers-118-113
BOVBovada-120-110
DKDraftKings-117-109
FDFanDuel-122-108
MBMyBookie-125-110

We project 4.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Kyle Leahy's full player page →
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Francisco Lindor (L)21.0%3.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)20.7%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)24.9%3.0 PA
4Jorge Polanco (L)20.0%3.0 PA
5Brett Baty (L)24.3%3.0 PA
6Luis Robert Jr. (R)21.7%2.0 PA
7Marcus Semien (R)21.6%2.0 PA
8Carson Benge (L)23.7%2.0 PA
9Francisco Alvarez (R)22.2%2.0 PA