MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · New York Mets

Clay Holmes

Clay Holmes — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: strikeouts at 53.7/100.

Today's top board
53.7
Strikeouts · vs NYY
Season line · ERA
2.39
4-4 · 45 K, 1.10 WHIP
Games graded
9
this season, box-score final
Clay Holmes
PBats RThrows RNew York Mets
Strikeouts53.7/100proj 4.8#12

Today's matchup

Clay is hosting New York Yankees on the Friday, May 15, 2026 slate. He lands on 1 of our boards — strikeouts (53.7/100, #12). We project Clay for 4.8 on the strikeouts board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Clay struck out 8 over 4.3 innings, 4 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Clay's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Clay has 29 strikeouts in 29.7 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Clay's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Friday, May 15vs NYY4.38742
Saturday, May 9@ AZ5.76522
Sunday, May 3@ LAA6.76413
Tuesday, April 28vs WSH6.06301
Wednesday, April 22vs MIN7.03521
Wednesday, April 15@ LAD5.04421
Friday, April 10vs ATH5.33513
Saturday, April 4@ SF7.04302
Monday, March 30@ STL5.75423

Clay Holmes — FAQ

Who is Clay Holmes facing today?

Clay Holmes is hosting New York Yankees on Friday, May 15, 2026. His best matchup grades 53.7/100 on our strikeouts board.

What's Clay Holmes's projection today?

We project Clay for 4.8 on the strikeouts board (home vs NYY). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).