MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Monday, March 30, 2026

PIT @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Monday, March 30, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
02
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 74°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, In From RF

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+122-159
BRBetRivers+133-180
DKDraftKings+123-158
MBMyBookie+116-160

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1TJ Friedl (L)24.7%3.0 PA
2Matt McLain (R)21.2%3.0 PA
3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.5%3.0 PA
4Dane Myers (R)22.3%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)24.0%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.3%2.0 PA
7Will Benson (L)25.8%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)23.2%2.0 PA
9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.2%2.0 PA

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate32.8% K / BF

vs LHB30.4%
vs RHB31.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)25.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection7.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+128-167
BRBetRivers+116-155
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+121-155
FANFanatics+120-160
FDFanDuel+118-158
MBMyBookie+121-168

We project 7.7 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Chase Burns's full player page →
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)20.0%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)26.2%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)21.9%3.0 PA
5Billy Cook (R)31.9%3.0 PA
6Jared Triolo (R)21.1%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)21.8%2.0 PA
8Nick Gonzales (R)21.6%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)20.8%2.0 PA