MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burns

Chase Burns — 9-1, 2.36 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
2.36
9-1 · 112 K, 1.08 WHIP
Games graded
17
this season, box-score final
Chase Burns
PBats RThrows RCincinnati Reds

Today's matchup

Chase isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Chase struck out 4 over 6.0 innings, 2 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Chase's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Chase has 35 strikeouts in 27.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Chase's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Thursday, July 2@ MIL6.04422
Saturday, June 27@ PIT6.010950
Sunday, June 21@ NYY5.07513
Monday, June 15vs NYM5.07403
Tuesday, June 9@ SD5.37622
Wednesday, June 3vs KC6.09421
Tuesday, May 26@ NYM5.38422
Tuesday, May 19@ PHI6.09310
Thursday, May 14vs WSH6.07202
Saturday, May 9vs HOU6.02413
Sunday, May 3@ PIT7.07301
Tuesday, April 28vs COL6.09721

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).