MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Friday, April 3, 2026

BAL @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Friday, April 3, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
45
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 75°F CloudyWind 16 mph, Out To LF

BAL Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-147+113
BRBetRivers-134+100
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-157+123
FDFanDuel-146+110
MBMyBookie-149+108

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Kyle Bradish's full player page →
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)29.9%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)20.3%3.0 PA
3Jake Mangum (L)23.5%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)22.8%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.8%2.6 PA
6Spencer Horwitz (L)22.4%2.0 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)23.3%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)23.4%2.0 PA

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+110
BOLBetOnline-147+114
BRBetRivers-159+118
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-151+118
FDFanDuel-166+124
MBMyBookie-150+108

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Mitch Keller's full player page →
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)21.9%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)24.1%3.0 PA
4Adley Rutschman (L)20.2%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)23.2%2.8 PA
6Dylan Beavers (L)23.4%2.0 PA
7Coby Mayo (R)26.4%2.0 PA
8Colton Cowser (L)22.1%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)27.0%2.0 PA