MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Tuesday, April 7, 2026

SD @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 7, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
17
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 41°F ClearWind 9 mph, Out To RF

SD Nick Pivetta · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB25.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+100-130
BRBetRivers-105-129
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings-107-119
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel-108-122
MBMyBookie-104-133

We project 5.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Nick Pivetta's full player page →
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.8%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)18.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)24.0%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)21.0%3.0 PA
5Nick Yorke (R)20.3%2.1 PA
6Nick Gonzales (R)18.9%2.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)22.6%2.0 PA
8Konnor Griffin (R)20.6%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)21.4%2.0 PA

PIT Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-116-111
BRBetRivers-107-124
BOVBovada-125-105
DKDraftKings-106-120
FDFanDuel-120-110
MBMyBookie-120-115

We project 5.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Paul Skenes's full player page →
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ramón Laureano (R)23.3%3.0 PA
2Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.7%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)19.0%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)22.1%2.3 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)18.2%2.0 PA
6Gavin Sheets (L)22.8%2.0 PA
7Miguel Andujar (R)23.3%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)23.6%2.0 PA
9Jake Cronenworth (L)22.7%2.0 PA