MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

SD @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
82
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 46°F SunnyWind 8 mph, In From CF

SD Michael King · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.1% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-119-109
BRBetRivers-125-107
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-130+102
FDFanDuel-130-102
MBMyBookie-123-113

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Michael King's full player page →
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)20.2%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)25.3%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.4%3.0 PA
5Nick Yorke (R)20.9%2.8 PA
6Nick Gonzales (R)19.4%2.0 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)20.0%2.0 PA
8Joey Bart (R)24.4%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)22.6%2.0 PA

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOLBetOnline+110-143
BRBetRivers+116-155
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+112-143
FANFanatics+105-140
FDFanDuel+104-138
MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Mitch Keller's full player page →
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ramón Laureano (R)23.7%3.0 PA
2Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)19.2%3.0 PA
4Ty France (R)20.4%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)18.5%3.0 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)22.4%2.1 PA
7Bryce Johnson (L)26.1%2.0 PA
8Luis Campusano (R)21.3%2.0 PA
9Jake Cronenworth (L)23.2%2.0 PA