MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Saturday, April 11, 2026

HOU @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 11, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
78
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 55°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, Calm

HOU Lance McCullers Jr. · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline+128-167
BRBetRivers+104-137
BOVBovada+100-130
DKDraftKings+102-130
FDFanDuel-106-125
MBMyBookie+121-168

We project 6.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Lance McCullers Jr.'s full player page →
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)23.2%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)26.3%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)24.5%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)18.4%3.0 PA
5Randy Arozarena (R)21.1%2.6 PA
6Luke Raley (L)29.2%2.0 PA
7Cole Young (L)24.3%2.0 PA
8Brendan Donovan (L)18.6%2.0 PA
9Leo Rivas (L)29.6%2.0 PA

SEA Luis Castillo · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOLBetOnline-125-103
BRBetRivers-105-127
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-119-107
FANFanatics-120-110
FDFanDuel-104-128
MBMyBookie-128-107

We project 4.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Luis Castillo's full player page →
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Walker (R)18.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.9%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)20.7%3.0 PA
4Jose Altuve (R)18.7%3.0 PA
5Carlos Correa (R)16.9%2.5 PA
6Joey Loperfido (L)26.3%2.0 PA
7Cam Smith (R)22.3%2.0 PA
8Yainer Diaz (R)17.1%2.0 PA
9Taylor Trammell (L)22.9%2.0 PA