MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Seattle Mariners

Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: walks allowed at 100/100.

Today's top board
100
Walks Allowed · vs TOR
Season line · ERA
4.93
3-6 · 73 K, 1.36 WHIP
Games graded
16
this season, box-score final
Luis Castillo
PBats RThrows RSeattle Mariners
Walks Allowed100/100proj 1.3#1Earned Runs74.1/100proj 2.4#10Hits Allowed44.9/100proj 5#17Outs Recorded39/100proj 14.4#20Strikeouts32.3/100proj 4.3#16Fantasy Points31/100proj 12.2#13

Today's matchup

Luis is hosting Toronto Blue Jays on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 6 of our boards — walks allowed (100/100, #1), earned runs (74.1/100, #10), hits allowed (44.9/100, #17), outs recorded (39/100, #20). We project Luis for 1.3 on the walks allowed board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Luis struck out 4 over 6.0 innings, 1 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Luis's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Luis has 20 strikeouts in 26.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Luis's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Friday, June 26@ CLE6.04411
Friday, June 19vs BOS4.04740
Saturday, June 13@ WSH5.74722
Sunday, June 7@ DET5.75211
Sunday, May 31vs AZ5.03212
Monday, May 25@ ATH4.06202
Tuesday, May 19vs CWS2.34122
Thursday, May 14@ HOU5.76433
Saturday, May 9@ CWS4.06540
Sunday, May 3vs KC6.05642
Monday, April 27@ MIN5.03772
Tuesday, April 21vs ATH5.06522

Luis Castillo — FAQ

Who is Luis Castillo facing today?

Luis Castillo is hosting Toronto Blue Jays on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 100/100 on our walks allowed board.

What's Luis Castillo's projection today?

We project Luis for 1.3 on the walks allowed board (home vs TOR). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).