MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Saturday, April 11, 2026

MIA @ DET Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 11, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
16
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 52°F SunnyWind 5 mph, In From LF

MIA Janson Junk · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB18.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-147+114
BRBetRivers-195+143
DKDraftKings-153+120
MBMyBookie-150+108

We project 5.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Janson Junk's full player page →
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)18.1%3.0 PA
2Wenceel Pérez (L)21.0%3.0 PA
3Colt Keith (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)23.2%3.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)23.3%3.0 PA
6Kerry Carpenter (L)30.4%2.1 PA
7Spencer Torkelson (R)26.3%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)23.6%2.0 PA
9Matt Vierling (R)21.9%2.0 PA

DET Casey Mize · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.1% K / BF

vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline+109-141
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+109-140
FANFanatics+110-145
FDFanDuel+114-152
MBMyBookie+104-144

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Casey Mize's full player page →
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jakob Marsee (L)22.3%3.0 PA
2Xavier Edwards (L)17.4%3.0 PA
3Agustín Ramírez (R)21.6%3.0 PA
4Liam Hicks (L)16.6%3.0 PA
5Otto Lopez (R)21.6%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)25.2%2.0 PA
7Connor Norby (R)24.1%2.0 PA
8Graham Pauley (L)25.1%2.0 PA
9Heriberto Hernández (R)19.8%2.0 PA