Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, April 17, 2026)?

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against COL. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Friday, April 17, 2026: Tyler Glasnow (~6.4 K), Jacob deGrom (~6.4 K), Cam Schlittler (~6.0 K), Logan Gilbert (~5.8 K), Michael Soroka (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Friday, April 17, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, April 17, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 4–12

NYMaway

CHChomeTop matchup71 Final · 6–4

BALaway

CLEhomeTop matchup49 Final · 9–0

ATLaway

PHIhomeTop matchup27 Final · 10–5

SFaway

WSHhomeTop matchup38 Final · 1–5

TBaway

PIThomeTop matchup34 Final · 2–4

KCaway

NYYhomeTop matchup83 Final · 7–5

MILaway

MIAhomeTop matchup33 Final · 0–1

DETaway

BOShomeTop matchup42 Final · 9–4

STLaway

HOUhomeTop matchup12 Final · 2–1

CINaway

MINhomeTop matchup64 Final · 7–1

LADaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–8

SDaway

LAAhomeTop matchup70 Final · 5–0

TEXaway

SEAhomeTop matchup88 Final · 3–6

TORaway

AZhomeTop matchup72 Final · 9–2

CWSaway

ATHhomeTop matchup47

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.0% K/BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB28.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Edouard Julien (L)24.9%3.0

2. Mickey Moniak (L)22.6%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)20.8%3.0

4. Troy Johnston (L)22.0%3.0

5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.9%3.0

6. Brett Sullivan (L)23.2%2.2

7. Brenton Doyle (R)29.1%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)24.3%2.0

9. Jake McCarthy (L)19.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.0% K/BF

vs LHB28.6%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Leo Rivas (L)27.9%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)26.0%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)24.0%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)18.4%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)19.7%2.3

6. Rob Refsnyder (R)22.5%2.0

7. J.P. Crawford (L)20.8%2.0

8. Mitch Garver (R)28.1%2.0

9. Cole Young (L)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.6% K/BF

vs LHB28.1%

vs RHB27.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)18.9%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)22.0%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)18.0%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)22.2%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)27.0%2.1

6. Lane Thomas (R)24.5%2.0

7. Jac Caglianone (L)21.8%2.0

8. Jonathan India (R)21.5%2.0

9. Starling Marte (R)22.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.6% K/BF

vs LHB26.5%

vs RHB23.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.8%3.0

2. Corey Seager (L)23.8%3.0

3. Wyatt Langford (R)21.2%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)23.7%3.0

5. Evan Carter (L)20.8%2.9

6. Andrew McCutchen (R)29.2%2.0

7. Josh Jung (R)20.7%2.0

8. Josh Smith (L)17.5%2.0

9. Danny Jansen (R)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB28.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nathan Lukes (L)19.0%3.0

2. Myles Straw (R)18.9%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)18.1%3.0

4. Jesús Sánchez (L)22.2%3.0

5. Lenyn Sosa (R)19.4%2.8

6. Andrés Giménez (L)19.0%2.0

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)30.1%2.0

8. Ernie Clement (R)14.1%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (L)23.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.1% K/BF

vs LHB18.0%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Tommy Pham (R)24.5%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)21.7%3.0

3. Francisco Lindor (L)22.2%3.0

4. Luis Robert Jr. (R)25.9%3.0

5. Francisco Alvarez (R)20.3%2.7

6. MJ Melendez (L)24.9%2.0

7. Marcus Semien (R)20.2%2.0

8. Mark Vientos (R)24.9%2.0

9. Tyrone Taylor (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.9% K/BF

vs LHB27.1%

vs RHB25.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.0%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.1%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)18.5%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)19.9%3.0

5. Bryce Johnson (L)25.4%3.0

6. Gavin Sheets (L)22.0%2.4

7. Nick Castellanos (R)20.7%2.0

8. Ty France (R)17.7%2.0

9. Luis Campusano (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.8% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)21.3%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)23.8%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.8%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.9%3.0

5. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)17.3%2.4

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)20.7%2.0

7. Spencer Steer (R)26.3%2.0

8. Dane Myers (R)19.9%2.0

9. Tyler Stephenson (R)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)13.6%3.0

2. Michael Busch (L)24.4%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)16.9%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)25.8%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)25.5%2.5

6. Matt Shaw (R)21.8%2.0

7. Carson Kelly (R)18.5%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.5%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.4%3.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)22.3%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)23.5%3.0

4. Dylan Beavers (L)23.6%3.0

5. Sam Huff (R)24.8%2.2

6. Leody Taveras (L)20.5%2.0

7. Blaze Alexander (R)25.6%2.0

8. Coby Mayo (R)26.0%2.0

9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)20.5%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)23.2%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)16.9%3.0

4. Giancarlo Stanton (R)27.3%3.0

5. Ben Rice (L)23.1%3.0

6. Ryan McMahon (L)26.4%2.5

7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)24.2%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)22.9%2.0

9. Austin Wells (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Andy Ibáñez (R)21.8%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)24.2%3.0

3. Nick Kurtz (L)27.4%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)20.8%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)15.5%3.0

6. Zack Gelof (R)25.6%2.1

7. Max Muncy (R)29.5%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)23.3%2.0

9. Denzel Clarke (R)31.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)26.4%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.3%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.5%3.0

4. Jo Adell (R)23.1%3.0

5. Bryce Teodosio (R)23.0%3.0

6. Oswald Peraza (R)20.8%2.0

7. Josh Lowe (L)26.4%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)23.3%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.5%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)22.4%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)26.9%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)24.0%3.0

4. Trevor Story (R)26.0%3.0

5. Jarren Duran (L)25.6%3.0

6. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)18.8%2.2

7. Marcelo Mayer (L)22.5%2.0

8. Masataka Yoshida (L)18.5%2.0

9. Connor Wong (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Andrew Benintendi (L)26.1%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.1%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.8%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.1%3.0

5. Everson Pereira (R)24.4%2.4

6. Sam Antonacci (L)20.0%2.0

7. Edgar Quero (L)20.8%2.0

8. Chase Meidroth (R)20.4%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)28.8%3.0

2. Brady House (R)26.6%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)22.3%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)16.4%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)20.9%3.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)16.9%3.0

7. Nasim Nuñez (L)19.2%2.1

8. José Tena (L)22.3%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (L)15.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)26.5%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)20.4%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.2%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.8%3.0

5. Marcell Ozuna (R)24.2%2.7

6. Nick Gonzales (R)18.3%2.0

7. Billy Cook (R)24.9%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)22.4%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)21.5%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)16.0%3.0

3. Agustín Ramírez (R)21.8%3.0

4. Liam Hicks (L)16.8%3.0

5. Otto Lopez (R)21.3%3.0

6. Austin Slater (R)22.9%2.0

7. Connor Norby (R)25.3%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)18.6%2.0

9. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Gleyber Torres (R)21.5%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)18.6%3.0

3. Jahmai Jones (R)24.2%3.0

4. Dillon Dingler (R)19.9%3.0

5. Riley Greene (L)23.2%2.2

6. Wenceel Pérez (R)20.2%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)22.6%2.0

8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.0%2.0

9. Javier Báez (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.8% K/BF

vs LHB18.4%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)21.4%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)20.3%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.7%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)22.9%3.0

5. Ozzie Albies (L)20.5%3.0

6. Eli White (R)21.4%2.2

7. Dominic Smith (L)18.1%2.0

8. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.2%2.0

9. Michael Harris II (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)23.3%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)11.0%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)19.2%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)25.3%3.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)22.2%2.7

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)17.7%2.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)25.3%2.0

8. Daniel Susac (R)20.3%2.0

9. Drew Gilbert (L)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB17.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.1%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)19.2%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)17.5%3.0

4. Freddie Freeman (L)18.5%3.0

5. Teoscar Hernández (R)25.3%2.5

6. Santiago Espinal (R)20.8%2.0

7. Andy Pages (R)24.1%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)26.6%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.5% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB19.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sal Frelick (L)18.7%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)16.3%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)22.0%3.0

4. Joey Ortiz (R)22.8%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)23.7%3.0

6. Trevor Megill (L)22.0%2.0

7. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.7%2.0

8. Greg Jones (L)23.0%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.2%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)23.5%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.0%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)14.6%3.0

5. Jake Fraley (L)21.4%2.5

6. Ben Williamson (R)21.4%2.0

7. Cedric Mullins (L)21.9%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)19.1%2.0

9. Ryan Vilade (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB18.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)23.3%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)18.4%3.0

3. Luke Keaschall (R)19.7%3.0

4. James Outman (L)26.1%3.0

5. Josh Bell (R)21.8%2.8

6. Victor Caratini (R)20.0%2.0

7. Matt Wallner (L)28.1%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (R)19.9%2.0

9. Tristan Gray (L)26.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.6% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jose Altuve (R)18.4%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.4%3.0

3. Carlos Correa (R)18.3%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)19.6%3.0

5. Brice Matthews (R)26.3%2.5

6. Cam Smith (R)23.2%2.0

7. Taylor Trammell (L)25.6%2.0

8. Christian Vázquez (R)21.4%2.0

9. Shay Whitcomb (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.5% K/BF

vs LHB28.5%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.6 BF

Expected batters faced13.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)21.5%2.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)26.0%2.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)15.1%2.0

4. Jose Fernandez (R)26.2%2.0

5. Nolan Arenado (R)21.5%1.6

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)17.1%1.0

7. James McCann (R)26.3%1.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)21.4%1.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (L)28.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB18.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.7%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)17.1%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)15.6%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)24.6%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)27.2%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.8%2.0

7. Nathan Church (L)23.1%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)21.2%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)24.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB17.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)20.7%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)29.2%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)21.1%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)23.1%2.5

5. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%2.0

6. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.5%2.0

7. Alec Bohm (R)18.2%2.0

8. Dylan Moore (R)26.5%2.0

9. Otto Kemp (R)27.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.1% K/BF

vs LHB16.7%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)14.8%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)17.7%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)16.7%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)27.0%3.0

5. George Valera (L)22.4%2.3

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)26.3%2.0

7. Angel Martínez (L)20.6%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)23.1%2.0

9. Juan Brito (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Friday, April 17, 2026

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is the top strikeout start on the Friday, April 17, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K, with Jacob deGrom (TEX) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Tyler Glasnow

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against COL. He's missing bats at a 28% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and COL has been whiff-prone, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob deGrom (TEX) (88) — about 6.4 K vs SEA: a 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Cam Schlittler (NYY) (83) — about 6.0 K vs KC: a 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) (72) — about 5.8 K vs TEX: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Michael Soroka (AZ) (72) — about 5.5 K vs TOR: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 20% of the time.
Edward Cabrera (CHC) (71) — about 5.7 K vs NYM: a 21% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

ATH is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Davis Martin is the arm to exploit it (47).
BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Tanner Bibee is the arm to exploit it (49).
SEA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jacob deGrom is the arm to exploit it (88).
PHI is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Martín Pérez is the arm to exploit it (9).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.4 strikeouts. Top play Tyler Glasnow punched out 7. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, April 17, 2026)?: Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against COL. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Friday, April 17, 2026: Tyler Glasnow (~6.4 K), Jacob deGrom (~6.4 K), Cam Schlittler (~6.0 K), Logan Gilbert (~5.8 K), Michael Soroka (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Friday, April 17, 2026?: Tyler Glasnow punched out 7.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.