Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Tuesday, June 16, 2026
Top total bases spot: Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson (STL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael King. The lefty is racking up bases at .533 TB/PA against righties this year — and .921 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 55% of his trips. And Michael King has been getting squared up by righties lately — .478 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .286 in 7 career PA against Michael King. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (98) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: an excellent bat at .490 into an arm tough on the same side (.200), hot bat.
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (93) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: an excellent bat at .488 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.857).
- James Wood (WSH) (92) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .445 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.611), hot bat.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) (90) vs RHP Kodai Senga: a strong bat at .459 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (88) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .450 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.611).
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (87) vs RHP Kumar Rocker: a strong bat at .473 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.516).
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (85) vs RHP Kumar Rocker: an excellent bat at .511 into an arm tough on the same side (.182).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Merrill Kelly has been getting squared up by righties — .456 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wade Meckler (LAA), Nolan Schanuel (LAA), and Zach Neto (LAA).
- RHP Edward Cabrera has been getting squared up by righties — .436 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Tyler Freeman (COL), and Willi Castro (COL).
- RHP Zebby Matthews has been getting squared up by righties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Josh Jung (TEX), Joc Pederson (TEX), and Wyatt Langford (TEX).
- RHP Brady Singer has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Juan Soto (NYM), Jared Young (NYM), and Carson Benge (NYM).
Platoon edges to target
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .533 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .432 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .474 against righties this year.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .545 against righties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .436 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.