Best MLB Hits Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Top hits spot: Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trevor McDonald. The lefty is hitting .260 H/PA against righties this year — and .333 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 27% of his trips. And Trevor McDonald has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .364 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trevor McDonald. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (92) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .243 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.421), hitter's park.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (90) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: an excellent bat at .286 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.263).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (88) vs LHP Chris Sale: an excellent bat at .295 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.349).
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (84) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a strong bat at .252 into an arm tough on the same side (.206), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) (84) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .258 into an arm tough on the same side (.207), hitter's park.
- Jesús Sánchez (TOR) (82) vs RHP Colin Rea: an excellent bat at .271 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.345).
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (80) vs RHP Zac Gallen: a strong bat at .253 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.308).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Colin Rea has been vulnerable to righties — .274 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jesús Sánchez (TOR), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Yohendrick Piñango (TOR).
- RHP Trevor McDonald has been vulnerable to righties — .272 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Owen Caissie (MIA).
- RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Ryan O'Hearn (PIT), and Spencer Horwitz (PIT).
- RHP Troy Melton has been vulnerable to righties — .266 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Randal Grichuk (CWS), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Miguel Vargas (CWS).
Platoon edges to target
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .260 against righties this year.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .241 against righties this year.
- Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .263 against righties this year.
- Jesús Sánchez (TOR) — lefty bat vs RHP, .281 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Nick Gonzales (PIT) at 92.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Liam Hicks (MIA), Jake McCarthy (COL), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Kevin McGonigle (DET), and Ketel Marte (AZ). Cold but due to bounce back: James Wood (WSH), J.P. Crawford (SEA), Cody Bellinger (NYY), Cal Raleigh (SEA), and Joc Pederson (TEX).
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.