Who has the best home runs matchup today (Monday, April 20, 2026)?

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Colin Rea. Big-time bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hitter matchups today?

The top home runs matchups on Monday, April 20, 2026: Kyle Schwarber (100), Nick Kurtz (91), Junior Caminero (77), Mike Trout (75), Yordan Alvarez (74). The full board ranks every hitter in every game.

Did the top home runs matchup get a home run on Monday, April 20, 2026?

No — Kyle Schwarber didn't record a home run.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .137 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .032 against righties this year. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .072 against righties this year. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .061 against righties this year. Cal Raleigh (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .027 against righties this year.

How is the home runs matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's home runs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does HR/PA mean?

It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end in a home run. Around .030 (3%) is league average. Elite power runs .065+. We measure it per trip to the plate, which is what a daily matchup comes down to.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a home run.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a home run.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a home run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for home runs props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ HR" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a home run a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Home Runs Board · Archive

Best MLB home runs matchups — Monday, April 20, 2026

Every slugger on the Monday, April 20, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by home run upside against today's matchup. Power, the park, handedness splits, and how this arm gives up the long ball. Results show how each call played out.

Final · 6–8

DETaway

BOShomeTop matchup60 Final · 9–2

HOUaway

CLEhomeTop matchup74 Final · 6–1

CINaway

TBhomeTop matchup77 Final · 3–5

STLaway

MIAhomeTop matchup56 Final · 9–4

ATLaway

WSHhomeTop matchup61 Final · 7–5

BALaway

KChomeTop matchup66 Final · 1–5

PHIaway

CHChomeTop matchup100 Final · 12–3

LADaway

COLhomeTop matchup65 Final · 5–2

TORaway

LAAhomeTop matchup75 Final · 6–4

ATHaway

SEAhomeTop matchup91

#Hitter · MatchupScore

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.12931 PA

Season.13751 PA

Last 2 Years.070899 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA

Season.02540 PA

Last 2 Years.042696 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.046196 PA

Season.036247 PA

Last 2 Years.0323109 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances18

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Projection

Projected HR0.279

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA

Season.03263 PA

Last 2 Years.073399 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.00037 PA

Last 2 Years.043329 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.015198 PA

Season.021375 PA

Last 2 Years.0304005 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.362

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125

Plate Appearances8

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.65

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.261

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.11444 PA

Season.07071 PA

Last 2 Years.063680 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA

Season.00041 PA

Last 2 Years.000109 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017290 PA

Season.016435 PA

Last 2 Years.0263711 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.231

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08547 PA

Season.07283 PA

Last 2 Years.055567 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA

Season.00041 PA

Last 2 Years.024754 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033210 PA

Season.034327 PA

Last 2 Years.0293964 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances15

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Projection

Projected HR0.227

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08348 PA

Season.07269 PA

Last 2 Years.053600 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.03754 PA

Last 2 Years.045492 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.044180 PA

Season.050301 PA

Last 2 Years.0312961 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Context

Expected Plate Apps4.55

Sees starter / bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherWorking against

Recent Form🔥 6-game streak

Projection

Projected HR0.225

A rough estimate of how many hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07752 PA

Season.06182 PA

Last 2 Years.043971 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.00062 PA

Last 2 Years.034814 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.047193 PA

Season.048272 PA

Last 2 Years.0252579 PA