MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Monday, April 6, 2026

DET @ MIN Home Runs matchups · Monday, April 6, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
37
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 37°F ClearWind 6 mph, R To L

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.00018 BF
Last 2 Years.040621 BF
wOBA allowed.452
Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF
Season.00021 BF
Last 2 Years.032625 BF
wOBA allowed.195
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.00033 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.040621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015133 PA
Season.015133 PA
Last 2 Years.0303010 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kevin McGonigle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.019963 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.032625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020152 PA
Season.020152 PA
Last 2 Years.0313323 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gleyber Torres's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.028900 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.040621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015133 PA
Season.015133 PA
Last 2 Years.0303010 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Colt Keith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.053902 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.040621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015133 PA
Season.015133 PA
Last 2 Years.0303010 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.035762 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.032625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020152 PA
Season.020152 PA
Last 2 Years.0313323 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.235
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Spencer Torkelson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.06715 PA
Last 2 Years.023684 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.040621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015133 PA
Season.015133 PA
Last 2 Years.0303010 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Zach McKinstry's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.1258 PA
Last 2 Years.029475 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.032625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020152 PA
Season.020152 PA
Last 2 Years.0313323 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.308
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Vierling's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.00050 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.032625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020152 PA
Season.020152 PA
Last 2 Years.0313323 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jahmai Jones's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.029345 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.032625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–5
ERA3.61
WHIP1.08
IP97.1
H / K / BB83 / 113 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020152 PA
Season.020152 PA
Last 2 Years.0313323 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Rogers's full player page →

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.00013 BF
Last 2 Years.023566 BF
wOBA allowed.123
Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 BF
Season.1119 BF
Last 2 Years.039514 BF
wOBA allowed.549
Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.057704 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.039514 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022178 PA
Season.022178 PA
Last 2 Years.0265057 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.348
Plate Appearances23

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Byron Buxton's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.003304 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.039514 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022178 PA
Season.022178 PA
Last 2 Years.0265057 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Austin Martin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.018165 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.039514 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022178 PA
Season.022178 PA
Last 2 Years.0265057 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Luke Keaschall's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.060415 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.023566 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009106 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.0262912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kody Clemens's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.030536 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.023566 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009106 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.0262912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Victor Caratini's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09521 PA
Season.09521 PA
Last 2 Years.061521 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.023566 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009106 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.0262912 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Wallner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.12516 PA
Last 2 Years.044523 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.1119 PA
Last 2 Years.039514 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022178 PA
Season.022178 PA
Last 2 Years.0265057 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Royce Lewis's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.040227 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.023566 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009106 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.0262912 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

James Outman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.026490 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.023566 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L3–5
ERA2.63
WHIP0.97
IP65.0
H / K / BB49 / 68 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009106 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.0262912 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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