MatchWiz

Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton — our top-20 calls on him have hit 60% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
100
Home Runs · @ ATH · 2026-08-26
Our calls on him · hits
60%
1+ hit in 21/35 top-20 calls
Games graded
85
this season, box-score final
Byron Buxton
CFBats RThrows RMinnesota Twins
Home Runs100/100proj 0.3Runs100/100proj 0.6H+R+RBI91.9/100proj 1.9Stolen Bases87.4/100proj 0.2Fantasy Points85.9/100proj 7.7RBIs85.6/100proj 0.5Hits67.5/100proj 1Total Bases66.7/100proj 1.7Doubles63.3/100proj 0.2Walks47.3/100proj 0.4Singles34.8/100proj 0.6Triples22.6/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Byron hasn't been scored in 43 days — his last matchup was against Athletics on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's in a cold stretch

Byron is 6-for-35 (.171) across his last 10 games, down from .265 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 35 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Byron has 23 home runs and 42 extra-base hits in 344 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Byron hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Byron has recorded at least one hit in 59 of 85 games he's batted in — 69% — with 23 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Byron is hitting .277 at home (46-for-166) and .253 on the road (45-for-178) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Byron's biggest night was Monday, August 24, 2026 at ATH — 3-for-5. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Byron have graded

We've ranked Byron a top-20 hitter matchup 35 times this season. He got a hit in 21 of them — 60%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Byron was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: home runs graded 100/100 while triples came in at 22.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Byron's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Tuesday, August 25@ ATH30000
Monday, August 24@ ATH53040
Sunday, August 23@ SD31000
Saturday, August 22@ SD40000
Friday, August 21@ SD40010
Wednesday, August 19vs ATL40011
Tuesday, August 18vs ATL11010
Monday, August 17vs ATL31010
Sunday, August 16vs PHI50000
Saturday, August 15vs PHI30000
Thursday, August 13vs PHI41000
Tuesday, July 28vs KC20000

Byron Buxton — FAQ

Is Byron Buxton playing today?

Byron Buxton isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Byron Buxton graded?

In the 35 games where our model ranked Byron a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 21 times — 60%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Byron Buxton been hitting lately?

Byron is 6-for-35 (.171) over his last 10 games, against .265 on the season across 344 at-bats in our log, with 23 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Byron Buxton appear on?

Byron was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — home runs, runs, h+r+rbi, stolen bases, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Byron Buxton's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).