MatchWiz

Colt Keith

Colt Keith — our top-20 calls on him have hit 55% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
83.5
Doubles · @ CWS · 2026-09-20
Our calls on him · hits
55%
1+ hit in 12/22 top-20 calls
Games graded
116
this season, box-score final
Colt Keith
3BBats LThrows RDetroit Tigers
Doubles83.5/100proj 0.2Total Bases62.4/100proj 1.7Walks54.2/100proj 0.4Fantasy Points50.1/100proj 6.9Hits49.3/100proj 1Singles48.8/100proj 0.6H+R+RBI48.2/100proj 1.8RBIs41.8/100proj 0.5Runs41.5/100proj 0.5Home Runs33.6/100proj 0.2Stolen Bases16.1/100proj 0.1Triples13.9/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Colt hasn't been scored in 18 days — his last matchup was against Chicago White Sox on Sunday, September 20, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Colt is 5-for-22 (.227) over his last 10 games, in line with his .260 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Colt has 10 home runs and 30 extra-base hits in 311 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Colt hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Colt has recorded at least one hit in 60 of 113 games he's batted in — 53% — with 16 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Colt is hitting .222 at home (36-for-162) and .302 on the road (45-for-149) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

Against Chicago White Sox

Colt is 1-for-5 (.200) against Chicago White Sox in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 5 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

How our calls on Colt have graded

In the 22 games where we ranked Colt a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 12 times — 55%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Colt was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 83.5/100 while triples came in at 13.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Colt gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, September 19@ CWS30000
Friday, September 18@ CWS21010
Thursday, September 17@ CWS00000
Wednesday, September 16@ TOR11010
Sunday, September 13vs COL41010
Saturday, September 12vs COL31001
Friday, September 11vs COL20000
Wednesday, September 9vs MIN31112
Tuesday, September 8vs MIN20000
Monday, September 7vs MIN20001
Sunday, September 6@ CLE41010
Friday, September 4@ CLE10000

Colt Keith — FAQ

Is Colt Keith playing today?

Colt Keith isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 20, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Colt Keith graded?

In the 22 games where our model ranked Colt a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 12 times — 55%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Colt Keith been hitting lately?

Colt is 5-for-22 (.227) over his last 10 games, against .260 on the season across 311 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Colt Keith appear on?

Colt was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, total bases, walks, fantasy points, hits. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Colt Keith's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).