MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

HOU @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
vs
6:45 PM EDT
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft

HOU HOU Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from HOU's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.02050 BF
Last 2 Years.01565 BF
wOBA allowed.332
Hard-Hit %22%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 BF
Season.008124 BF
Last 2 Years.010207 BF
wOBA allowed.317
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.01472 PA
Last 2 Years.034265 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0
Jul 5vs TB0
Jul 6@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.0391075 PA
Last 2 Years.0372908 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jose Altuve's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.059

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.08199 PA
Last 2 Years.068222 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB1
Jul 4vs TB2
Jul 5vs TB0
Jul 6@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.01565 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029140 PA
Season.044929 PA
Last 2 Years.0442639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.387
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.367

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00081 PA
Last 2 Years.031226 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0
Jul 5vs TB1
Jul 6@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.0391075 PA
Last 2 Years.0372908 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Isaac Paredes's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.05080 PA
Last 2 Years.030270 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0
Jul 5vs TB1
Jul 6@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.0391075 PA
Last 2 Years.0372908 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.00052 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7vs ATH0
Jun 8@ LAA0
Jul 4vs TB0
Jul 5vs TB0
Jul 6@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.01565 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029140 PA
Season.044929 PA
Last 2 Years.0442639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

LaMonte Wade Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.03782 PA
Last 2 Years.032219 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB0
Jul 5vs TB0
Jul 6@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.0391075 PA
Last 2 Years.0372908 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cam Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00043 PA
Last 2 Years.041246 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 3vs TB0
Jul 4vs TB1
Jul 6@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.0391075 PA
Last 2 Years.0372908 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yainer Diaz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.00011 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 27@ TEX0
May 28@ TEX0
May 29vs MIL0
May 30vs MIL0
Jul 6@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.01565 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029140 PA
Season.044929 PA
Last 2 Years.0442639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Braden Shewmake's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.05376 PA
Last 2 Years.04687 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jul 1vs MIN0
Jul 6@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008124 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L2–1
ERA3.05
WHIP1.38
IP41.1
H / K / BB41 / 48 / 16

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.0391075 PA
Last 2 Years.0372908 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.271
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brice Matthews's full player page →

WSH WSH Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from WSH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.045132 BF
Last 2 Years.045132 BF
wOBA allowed.365
Hard-Hit %48%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 BF
Season.02483 BF
Last 2 Years.02483 BF
wOBA allowed.283
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.057282 PA
Last 2 Years.045950 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ BOS1
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT1
Jul 5vs PIT0
Jul 6vs HOU1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040228 PA
Season.0301173 PA
Last 2 Years.0273189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.373
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed44%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.317

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

James Wood's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.058

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22041 PA
Season.066259 PA
Last 2 Years.048860 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT2
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 5vs PIT1
Jul 6vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040228 PA
Season.0301173 PA
Last 2 Years.0273189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.370
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed44%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.306

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luis García Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.051156 PA
Last 2 Years.032315 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 5vs PIT0
Jul 6vs HOU1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.02483 PA
Last 2 Years.02483 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.0341066 PA
Last 2 Years.0333498 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Curtis Mead's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.057263 PA
Last 2 Years.040868 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ BOS1
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 5vs PIT0
Jul 6vs HOU1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040228 PA
Season.0301173 PA
Last 2 Years.0273189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed44%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.199

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CJ Abrams's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.027112 PA
Last 2 Years.029445 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 5vs PIT1
Jul 6vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.02483 PA
Last 2 Years.02483 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.0341066 PA
Last 2 Years.0333498 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.270
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dylan Crews's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.037267 PA
Last 2 Years.031541 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT2
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 5vs PIT0
Jul 6vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040228 PA
Season.0301173 PA
Last 2 Years.0273189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed44%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Daylen Lile's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.037189 PA
Last 2 Years.017633 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 6vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.02483 PA
Last 2 Years.02483 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.0341066 PA
Last 2 Years.0333498 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.069

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jacob Young's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.016125 PA
Last 2 Years.011190 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ BAL0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 5vs PIT0
Jul 6vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040228 PA
Season.0301173 PA
Last 2 Years.0273189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed44%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.053

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Drew Millas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.000205 PA
Last 2 Years.007303 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS1
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT0
Jul 6vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L5–4
ERA6.14
WHIP1.47
IP48.1
H / K / BB41 / 60 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040228 PA
Season.0301173 PA
Last 2 Years.0273189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.271
Hard-Hit %19%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.352
Hard-Hit % Allowed44%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.025

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nasim Nuñez's full player page →