MatchWiz

Isaac Paredes

Isaac Paredes — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: rbis at 57.2/100.

Today's top board
57.2
RBIs · vs SEA
Our calls on him · hits
57%
1+ hit in 4/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
105
this season, box-score final
Isaac Paredes
3BBats RThrows RHouston Astros
RBIs57.2/100proj 0.5#75H+R+RBI53/100proj 1.7#119Total Bases47.4/100proj 1.6#102Hits43.4/100proj 1#135Runs42.3/100proj 0.5#138Singles40.2/100proj 0.6#132Doubles39.6/100proj 0.2#115Fantasy Points35.1/100proj 6.3#167Home Runs26.7/100proj 0.1#121Walks22/100proj 0.3#200Triples2.9/100proj 0#258Stolen Bases0/100proj 0#270

Today's matchup

Isaac draws Seattle Mariners at home today. He shows up on 12 boards — rbis (57.2/100, #75), h+r+rbi (53/100, #119), total bases (47.4/100, #102), hits (43.4/100, #135). We've got him at 0.5 on the rbis board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Isaac is 10-for-38 (.263) over his last 10 games, in line with his .261 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Isaac has 14 home runs and 34 extra-base hits in 391 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Isaac hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Isaac has recorded at least one hit in 69 of 105 games he's batted in — 66% — with 27 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Isaac is hitting .259 at home (45-for-174) and .263 on the road (57-for-217) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Isaac's biggest night was Friday, August 7, 2026 at SD — 3-for-5. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Isaac have graded

In the 7 games where we ranked Isaac a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 57%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Isaac was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 57.2/100 while stolen bases came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Isaac gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, August 14vs SEA52003
Wednesday, August 12@ SF40010
Tuesday, August 11@ SF42000
Monday, August 10@ SF42002
Sunday, August 9@ SD30000
Saturday, August 8@ SD41000
Friday, August 7@ SD53010
Wednesday, August 5vs TOR10000
Tuesday, August 4vs TOR40000
Monday, August 3vs TOR40000
Sunday, August 2vs TEX50000
Saturday, August 1vs TEX31000

Isaac Paredes — FAQ

Who is Isaac Paredes facing today?

Isaac Paredes is hosting Seattle Mariners on Saturday, August 15, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 57.2/100 on our rbis board, ranked #75.

What is Isaac Paredes's projection today?

We project Isaac for 0.5 on the rbis board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Isaac Paredes graded?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Isaac a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 57%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Isaac Paredes been hitting lately?

Isaac is 10-for-38 (.263) over his last 10 games, against .261 on the season across 391 at-bats in our log, with 14 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Isaac Paredes appear on?

Isaac was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, h+r+rbi, total bases, hits, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Isaac Paredes's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).