MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · DH · Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: walks at 95.9/100.

Today's top board
95.9
Walks · vs TB
Our calls on him · hits
67%
1+ hit in 20/30 top-20 calls
Games graded
74
this season, box-score final
Yordan Alvarez
DHBats LThrows RHouston Astros
Walks95.9/100proj 0.9#3Home Runs82.7/100proj 0.4#8Fantasy Points76.2/100proj 8.3#5Total Bases65.7/100proj 1.8#15RBIs61.8/100proj 0.6#46H+R+RBI52.9/100proj 1.9#58Hits51.3/100proj 1.1#61Runs48.4/100proj 0.5#78Stolen Bases22/100proj 0.1#98

Today's matchup

Yordan is hosting Tampa Bay Rays on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — walks (95.9/100, #3), home runs (82.7/100, #8), fantasy points (76.2/100, #5), total bases (65.7/100, #15). We project Yordan for 0.9 on the walks board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Yordan is 6-for-17 (.353) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Yordan have done

When we've ranked Yordan a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 20 of 30 games (67%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Yordan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs MIN43000
Tuesday, June 30vs MIN43114
Monday, June 29vs MIN30000
Sunday, June 28@ DET30010
Friday, June 26@ DET30000
Thursday, June 25@ DET40000
Wednesday, June 24@ TOR30000
Tuesday, June 23@ TOR42020
Monday, June 22@ TOR21010
Sunday, June 21vs CLE21121
Saturday, June 20vs CLE30000
Friday, June 19vs CLE41020

Yordan Alvarez — FAQ

Who is Yordan Alvarez facing today?

Yordan Alvarez is hosting Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 95.9/100 on our walks board.

What's Yordan Alvarez's projection today?

We project Yordan for 0.9 on the walks board (home vs TB). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Yordan Alvarez done?

In the 30 games where our model ranked Yordan a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 20 times (67%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).