MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Sunday, April 12, 2026

BOS @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, April 12, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
93
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 78°F CloudyWind 18 mph, Out To LF

BOS Brayan Bello · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+110-143
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+110-140
FDFanDuel+102-136
MBMyBookie+105-145

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Brayan Bello's full player page →
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)20.8%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)19.1%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)15.2%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)25.7%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)25.7%2.9 PA
6Ramón Urías (R)21.9%2.0 PA
7José Fermín (R)21.5%2.0 PA
8Thomas Saggese (R)23.7%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)25.9%2.0 PA

STL Andre Pallante · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.1% K / BF

vs LHB17.1%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOLBetOnline-137+106
BRBetRivers-136+102
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-131+103
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-138+104
MBMyBookie-140+101

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Andre Pallante's full player page →
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Roman Anthony (L)26.1%3.0 PA
2Caleb Durbin (R)19.7%3.0 PA
3Jarren Duran (L)24.1%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)26.2%3.0 PA
5Wilyer Abreu (L)23.1%2.7 PA
6Trevor Story (R)28.3%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)26.3%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)24.0%2.0 PA
9Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.0%2.0 PA