Last scored matchup
Andre isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 2 days ago, away at Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, August 21, 2026. This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Season line
24 starts, 12-6, 3.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 136.0 innings. He's struck out 97 over that span, against 41 walks. This is the baseline the matchup adjusts from — the model starts here and then asks what the specific lineup he's facing does to strikeout arms, how the park plays, and how deep he's likely to go.
He throws right-handed
Andre throws right-handed, which is the ordinary case and means fewer wild swings in the lineup he faces. Opposing managers aren't restacking against him the way they would a left-hander, so his projection moves more on the quality of the lineup than on its handedness. What does move it: how deep he's been going lately, and whether the lineup in front of him strikes out.
His last 5 starts
Andre has 22 strikeouts in 30.7 innings across his last 5 starts, a 6.5 K/9, with a 2.05 ERA over that stretch and 10 walks. Strikeouts are the one pitcher market where our model has found real, graded room — projected workload and the specific lineup he draws move that number more than a season-long rate does. Start-by-start detail is in the log below.
Strikeouts and control
Andre has 97 strikeouts and 41 walks in 136.0 innings this season — 6.4 K/9 against 2.7 BB/9, a 2.4-to-1 ratio. That's around league-typical control — enough to work deep when the lineup cooperates, not enough to bail him out of a bad matchup.
What his floor looks like
Andre has made 24 starts this season, averaging 5.7 innings with a 3.57 ERA across them. In the 12 starts we hold detailed lines for, he got through five or more innings 12 times. That ratio is the honest read on his floor, and it's what separates an arm worth projecting on the outs board from one whose good starts are unpredictable enough that the market prices them better than we do.
How long he goes
Andre is averaging 5.8 innings a start across his last 8 outings, with a high of 7.0 and about 94 pitches a night. He's going deep enough that the outs and strikeout lines stay live into the seventh, which is where most of the value on those boards sits. Expected batters faced is one of the bigger inputs to his score for exactly this reason.
His best start in the log
Andre's high-water mark was Saturday, July 25, 2026 against CIN: 8 strikeouts over 7.0 innings, 0 earned runs. One start doesn't set a projection — the model works off the blend of his recent work against the specific lineup in front of him — but it does show the ceiling when the matchup lines up.
How the model reads him
Every arm on the slate goes through the same math, Andre included. Opposing lineup, handedness, expected batters faced, park, weather — weighted, combined, and normalized 0–100. We keep the weighting to ourselves and re-tune it weekly on real results. What we don't keep is the record: every projection here is graded against the box score at the line the market offered.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.