MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Boston Red Sox

Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: outs recorded at 74.5/100.

Today's top board
74.5
Outs Recorded · vs BAL
Season line · ERA
6.34
2-6 · 44 K, 1.67 WHIP
Games graded
12
this season, box-score final
Brayan Bello
PBats RThrows RBoston Red Sox
Outs Recorded74.5/100proj 15.9#10Fantasy Points50.6/100proj 12.3#12Strikeouts40.9/100proj 4.4#10Earned Runs14.9/100proj 2.6#11Walks Allowed14.9/100proj 2#11Hits Allowed3/100proj 5.6#16

Today's matchup

Brayan is hosting Baltimore Orioles on the Thursday, June 4, 2026 slate. He lands on 6 of our boards — outs recorded (74.5/100, #10), fantasy points (50.6/100, #12), strikeouts (40.9/100, #10), earned runs (14.9/100, #11). We project Brayan for 15.9 on the outs recorded board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Last time out, Brayan struck out 4 over 5.0 innings, 8 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Brayan's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Brayan has 20 strikeouts in 28.3 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Brayan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Thursday, June 4vs BAL5.04783
Friday, May 29@ CLE7.05400
Saturday, May 23vs MIN5.05801
Sunday, May 17@ ATL5.01873
Tuesday, May 12vs PHI6.35411
Tuesday, May 5@ DET7.07411
Wednesday, April 29@ TOR3.72642
Friday, April 24@ BAL3.321381
Saturday, April 18vs DET4.04543
Sunday, April 12@ STL6.72622
Monday, April 6vs MIL3.35534
Tuesday, March 31@ HOU4.72853

Brayan Bello — FAQ

Who is Brayan Bello facing today?

Brayan Bello is hosting Baltimore Orioles on Thursday, June 4, 2026. His best matchup grades 74.5/100 on our outs recorded board.

What's Brayan Bello's projection today?

We project Brayan for 15.9 on the outs recorded board (home vs BAL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).