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Best MLB strikeouts matchupsThursday, April 2, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, April 2, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.0% K/BF

vs LHB27.6%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)18.3%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)17.6%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)19.8%3.0
4. Carter Jensen (L)26.5%3.0
5. Jac Caglianone (L)22.3%2.6
6. Jonathan India (R)19.8%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)23.5%2.0
8. Lane Thomas (R)24.7%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. James Outman (L)33.7%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.5%3.0
3. Luke Keaschall (R)20.6%3.0
4. Matt Wallner (L)23.5%3.0
5. Victor Caratini (R)20.3%2.8
6. Kody Clemens (L)22.0%2.0
7. Josh Bell (R)23.3%2.0
8. Royce Lewis (R)20.2%2.0
9. Tristan Gray (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)19.6%3.0
2. James McCann (R)25.6%3.0
3. Jose Fernandez (R)22.2%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)21.4%3.0
5. Alek Thomas (L)23.7%2.9
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)19.5%2.0
7. Carlos Santana (L)24.6%2.0
8. Tim Tawa (R)23.1%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (L)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.5% K/BF

vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Eli White (R)26.2%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)18.2%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)25.7%3.0
4. Kyle Farmer (R)22.6%3.0
5. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.5%2.6
6. Ozzie Albies (L)18.3%2.0
7. Michael Harris II (L)21.1%2.0
8. Jorge Mateo (R)23.2%2.0
9. Mauricio Dubón (R)19.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Francisco Lindor (R)19.0%3.0
2. Juan Soto (L)22.4%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)21.6%3.0
4. Jorge Polanco (R)21.1%3.0
5. Luis Robert Jr. (R)22.3%2.8
6. Mark Vientos (R)21.8%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)19.6%2.0
8. Francisco Alvarez (R)21.8%2.0
9. Tyrone Taylor (R)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)23.6%3.0
2. Rafael Devers (L)21.4%3.0
3. Heliot Ramos (R)24.2%3.0
4. Luis Arraez (L)16.5%3.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)22.2%3.0
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)20.4%2.2
7. Harrison Bader (R)24.3%2.0
8. Daniel Susac (R)22.0%2.0
9. Casey Schmitt (R)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.