Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, April 13, 2026)?

Garrett Crochet (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against MIN. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Monday, April 13, 2026: Garrett Crochet (~6.4 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.2 K), Gavin Williams (~6.1 K), Will Warren (~5.7 K), Yusei Kikuchi (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Monday, April 13, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, April 13, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 2–6

HOUaway

SEAhomeTop matchup57 Final · 7–9

AZaway

BALhomeTop matchup55 Final · 5–16

WSHaway

PIThomeTop matchup54 Final · 7–13

CHCaway

PHIhomeTop matchup87 Final · 10–11

LAAaway

NYYhomeTop matchup74 Final · 10–4

MIAaway

ATLhomeTop matchup53 Final · 6–13

BOSaway

MINhomeTop matchup100 Final · 9–3

CLEaway

STLhomeTop matchup78 Final · 8–1

TEXaway

ATHhomeTop matchup69 Final · 0–4

NYMaway

LADhomeTop matchup47

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.2% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB29.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Outman (L)26.1%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)18.6%3.0

3. Luke Keaschall (R)21.2%3.0

4. Ryan Jeffers (R)18.3%3.0

5. Josh Bell (R)23.6%3.0

6. Victor Caratini (R)21.0%2.5

7. Matt Wallner (L)28.2%2.0

8. Brooks Lee (R)20.3%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB26.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Scott Kingery (R)24.2%3.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)20.6%3.0

3. Seiya Suzuki (R)21.2%3.0

4. Ian Happ (R)26.8%3.0

5. Moisés Ballesteros (L)23.5%3.0

6. Michael Conforto (L)24.6%2.0

7. Miguel Amaya (R)20.2%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)28.2%2.0

9. Matt Shaw (R)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.5% K/BF

vs LHB27.0%

vs RHB27.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.5%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.4%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)14.9%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)25.1%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.7%2.8

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.3%2.0

7. José Fermín (R)21.7%2.0

8. Pedro Pagés (R)23.8%2.0

9. Thomas Saggese (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)24.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.4%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.0%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)27.7%3.0

5. Oswald Peraza (R)22.3%2.5

6. Jo Adell (R)23.1%2.0

7. Bryce Teodosio (R)23.7%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)23.6%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.6% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ryan McMahon (L)25.5%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)24.1%3.0

3. Cody Bellinger (L)19.6%3.0

4. Giancarlo Stanton (R)21.9%3.0

5. Ben Rice (L)25.0%3.0

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)24.3%2.1

7. Trent Grisham (L)22.1%2.0

8. José Caballero (R)27.3%2.0

9. Austin Wells (L)24.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Lawrence Butler (L)23.4%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)26.5%3.0

3. Austin Wynns (R)23.2%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)21.0%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)16.9%3.0

6. Jeff McNeil (L)21.1%2.2

7. Darell Hernaiz (R)22.6%2.0

8. Carlos Cortes (L)16.3%2.0

9. Zack Gelof (R)33.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB18.8%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brendan Donovan (L)18.0%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)25.9%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)24.3%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)18.0%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)20.9%3.0

6. Luke Raley (L)29.8%2.4

7. J.P. Crawford (L)21.2%2.0

8. Mitch Garver (R)26.8%2.0

9. Cole Young (L)23.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.2% K/BF

vs LHB18.2%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.3%3.0

2. Taylor Ward (R)21.9%3.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)23.9%3.0

4. Samuel Basallo (L)24.9%3.0

5. Dylan Beavers (L)24.4%2.5

6. Leody Taveras (L)21.3%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)23.5%2.0

8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.6%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Joey Wiemer (R)25.7%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)16.6%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)22.8%3.0

4. Daylen Lile (L)16.4%2.5

5. Jacob Young (R)18.4%2.0

6. José Tena (L)23.2%2.0

7. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.0%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (L)22.5%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (L)17.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF

vs LHB25.0%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.3%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)17.8%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)24.6%3.0

4. Austin Riley (R)24.9%3.0

5. Jorge Mateo (R)20.9%3.0

6. Ozzie Albies (L)21.0%2.2

7. Dominic Smith (L)17.7%2.0

8. Michael Harris II (L)20.1%2.0

9. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.1% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sam Haggerty (L)21.7%3.0

2. Evan Carter (L)20.1%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)23.4%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)24.9%3.0

5. Joc Pederson (L)22.4%2.2

6. Kyle Higashioka (R)22.9%2.0

7. Josh Smith (L)17.4%2.0

8. Josh Jung (R)21.8%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jose Altuve (R)16.7%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.2%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)20.7%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)19.1%3.0

5. Carlos Correa (R)16.4%3.0

6. Cam Smith (R)22.4%2.5

7. Taylor Trammell (L)26.6%2.0

8. Yainer Diaz (R)17.7%2.0

9. Shay Whitcomb (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.0% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)19.3%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)24.7%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)14.8%3.0

4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)27.0%3.0

5. Jose Fernandez (R)25.7%3.0

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)18.9%2.0

7. Nolan Arenado (R)20.8%2.0

8. Alek Thomas (L)24.7%2.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (L)27.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.8%3.0

2. Kyle Tucker (L)22.8%3.0

3. Will Smith (R)22.4%3.0

4. Teoscar Hernández (R)25.2%3.0

5. Freddie Freeman (L)18.1%3.0

6. Andy Pages (R)23.6%2.3

7. Max Muncy (L)21.4%2.0

8. Santiago Espinal (R)18.9%2.0

9. Miguel Rojas (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)22.2%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)16.9%3.0

3. Agustín Ramírez (R)22.0%3.0

4. Liam Hicks (L)16.1%3.0

5. Otto Lopez (R)20.5%3.0

6. Owen Caissie (L)26.4%2.2

7. Connor Norby (R)24.1%2.0

8. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.3%2.0

9. Graham Pauley (L)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB20.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.0%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)27.0%3.0

3. Otto Kemp (R)24.7%3.0

4. Dylan Moore (R)24.0%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.8%2.6

6. Alec Bohm (R)20.5%2.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)20.2%2.0

8. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.1%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB18.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)25.0%3.0

2. Caleb Durbin (R)18.8%3.0

3. Jarren Duran (L)25.1%3.0

4. Andruw Monasterio (R)23.1%3.0

5. Wilyer Abreu (L)23.7%2.1

6. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.2%2.0

7. Marcelo Mayer (L)24.9%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)22.1%2.0

9. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.6% K/BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)18.4%3.0

2. Angel Martínez (R)17.8%3.0

3. José Ramírez (R)15.6%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)26.1%3.0

5. David Fry (R)26.1%3.0

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)21.4%2.2

7. Juan Brito (R)22.9%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)21.4%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.1% K/BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Francisco Lindor (R)18.6%3.0

2. Luis Robert Jr. (R)22.1%3.0

3. Mark Vientos (R)21.2%3.0

4. Bo Bichette (R)21.4%3.0

5. Jorge Polanco (R)21.6%2.2

6. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.2%2.0

7. Tommy Pham (R)19.6%2.0

8. Marcus Semien (R)19.6%2.0

9. Tyrone Taylor (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.6 BF

Expected batters faced13.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Billy Cook (R)22.7%2.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)25.5%2.0

3. Joey Bart (R)26.0%2.0

4. Nick Gonzales (R)22.4%2.0

5. Nick Yorke (R)21.9%1.6

6. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.5%1.0

7. Konnor Griffin (R)25.4%1.0

8. Jake Mangum (R)18.9%1.0

9. Henry Davis (R)22.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Monday, April 13, 2026

Garrett Crochet (BOS) is the top strikeout start on the Monday, April 13, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K, with Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Garrett Crochet

Garrett Crochet (BOS) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against MIN. He's missing bats at a 27% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and MIN has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (87) — about 6.2 K vs CHC: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Gavin Williams (CLE) (78) — about 6.1 K vs STL: a 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Will Warren (NYY) (74) — about 5.7 K vs LAA: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) (70) — about 5.9 K vs NYY: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (69) — about 5.6 K vs ATH: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

NYY is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Yusei Kikuchi is the arm to exploit it (70).
BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Ryne Nelson is the arm to exploit it (55).
CHC is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Cristopher Sánchez is the arm to exploit it (87).
LAA is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Will Warren is the arm to exploit it (74).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 4.6 strikeouts. Top play Garrett Crochet punched out 0. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, April 13, 2026)?: Garrett Crochet (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against MIN. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Monday, April 13, 2026: Garrett Crochet (~6.4 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.2 K), Gavin Williams (~6.1 K), Will Warren (~5.7 K), Yusei Kikuchi (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Monday, April 13, 2026?: Garrett Crochet punched out 0.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.