Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 15, 2026)?

Jesús Luzardo (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.9 K against CHC. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 15, 2026: Jesús Luzardo (~6.9 K), Dylan Cease (~6.1 K), Shota Imanaga (~5.8 K), Spencer Arrighetti (~6.2 K), Kyle Bradish (~6.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, April 15, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 8–5

AZaway

BALhomeTop matchup57 Final · 3–5

CLEaway

STLhomeTop matchup13 Final · 9–5

BOSaway

MINhomeTop matchup36 Final · 1–2

KCaway

DEThomeTop matchup53 Final · 0–2

WSHaway

PIThomeTop matchup32 Final · 3–8

SFaway

CINhomeTop matchup15 Final · 11–2

CHCaway

PHIhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–5

LAAaway

NYYhomeTop matchup24 Final · 3–6

MIAaway

ATLhomeTop matchup28 Final · 8–3

TBaway

CWShomeTop matchup37 Final · 1–2

TORaway

MILhomeTop matchup73 Final · 1–3

COLaway

HOUhomeTop matchup61 Final · 6–7

SEAaway

SDhomeTop matchup37 Final · 5–6

TEXaway

ATHhomeTop matchup29 Final · 2–8

NYMaway

LADhomeTop matchup35

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB30.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)19.5%3.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)19.9%3.0

3. Seiya Suzuki (R)19.9%3.0

4. Ian Happ (R)26.8%3.0

5. Michael Busch (L)19.6%3.0

6. Dansby Swanson (R)28.4%2.2

7. Miguel Amaya (R)20.4%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)28.8%2.0

9. Matt Shaw (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate29.4% K/BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB29.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sal Frelick (L)19.0%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)16.8%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)22.3%3.0

4. Gary Sánchez (R)24.6%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)22.8%2.8

6. Brandon Lockridge (R)21.0%2.0

7. Blake Perkins (L)27.8%2.0

8. Joey Ortiz (R)21.8%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.9% K/BF

vs LHB26.3%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Justin Crawford (L)22.0%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)27.1%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)19.2%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)22.8%3.0

5. Edmundo Sosa (R)20.1%2.2

6. Rafael Marchán (R)20.4%2.0

7. Alec Bohm (R)18.3%2.0

8. Brandon Marsh (L)26.2%2.0

9. Otto Kemp (R)26.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.7% K/BF

vs LHB27.2%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Edouard Julien (L)23.3%3.0

2. Brenton Doyle (R)29.7%3.0

3. Hunter Goodman (R)27.3%3.0

4. Kyle Karros (R)25.1%3.0

5. TJ Rumfield (L)21.6%3.0

6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.4%2.0

7. Tyler Freeman (R)19.6%2.0

8. Jake McCarthy (L)18.6%2.0

9. Brett Sullivan (L)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.9% K/BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)19.6%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)25.9%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)14.4%3.0

4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)26.9%3.0

5. Jose Fernandez (R)26.6%2.3

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)18.2%2.0

7. Nolan Arenado (R)21.6%2.0

8. Alek Thomas (L)26.4%2.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (L)28.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB26.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.