Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, April 25, 2026)?

Zack Wheeler (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K against ATL. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Saturday, April 25, 2026: Zack Wheeler (~6.6 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.5 K), MacKenzie Gore (~6.0 K), Garrett Crochet (~5.8 K), Ryan Weathers (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Saturday, April 25, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, April 25, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 17–1

BOSaway

BALhomeTop matchup54 Final · 11–9

SEAaway

STLhomeTop matchup41 Final · 3–5

CLEaway

TORhomeTop matchup45 Final · 2–6

MIAaway

SFhomeTop matchup46 Final · 1–6

MINaway

TBhomeTop matchup30 Final · 6–3

WSHaway

CWShomeTop matchup40 Final · 6–4

SDaway

AZhomeTop matchup22 Final · 3–4

ATHaway

TEXhomeTop matchup62 Final · 1–12

LAAaway

KChomeTop matchup34 Final · 8–3

NYYaway

HOUhomeTop matchup54 Final · 6–3

PITaway

MILhomeTop matchup73 Final · 2–9

DETaway

CINhomeTop matchup52 Final · 4–12

CHCaway

LADhomeTop matchup23 Final · 8–5

PHIaway

ATLhomeTop matchup100

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.3% K/BF

vs LHB29.7%

vs RHB30.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)25.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)19.0%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)22.3%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.2%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)17.5%3.0

5. Michael Harris II (L)18.9%3.0

6. Austin Riley (R)24.8%2.0

7. Jorge Mateo (R)23.8%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.5%2.0

9. Eli White (R)21.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.6% K/BF

vs LHB32.6%

vs RHB24.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)27.3%3.0

2. Nick Yorke (R)20.1%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.4%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.2%3.0

5. Nick Gonzales (R)18.2%2.7

6. Spencer Horwitz (L)17.5%2.0

7. Jake Mangum (L)20.3%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)24.4%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shea Langeliers (R)24.1%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)27.7%3.0

3. Colby Thomas (R)30.3%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)23.9%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)18.4%2.5

6. Carlos Cortes (L)20.4%2.0

7. Jeff McNeil (L)16.8%2.0

8. Austin Wynns (R)20.8%2.0

9. Zack Gelof (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.8% K/BF

vs LHB23.2%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.4%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.2%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)19.7%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)23.7%3.0

5. Tyler O'Neill (R)23.7%3.0

6. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.3%2.1

7. Leody Taveras (R)23.8%2.0

8. Coby Mayo (R)23.9%2.0

9. Colton Cowser (L)26.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.9% K/BF

vs LHB28.5%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carlos Correa (R)19.3%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.3%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)19.1%3.0

4. Jose Altuve (R)21.3%3.0

5. Christian Walker (R)22.1%3.0

6. Yainer Diaz (R)18.9%2.1

7. Cam Smith (R)24.0%2.0

8. Christian Vázquez (R)22.0%2.0

9. Brice Matthews (R)28.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)24.8%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)24.8%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)21.3%3.0

5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.1%2.5

6. Spencer Steer (R)27.0%2.0

7. Tyler Stephenson (R)27.6%2.0

8. Dane Myers (R)21.2%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)18.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Agustín Ramírez (R)21.0%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)18.6%3.0

3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.7%3.0

4. Connor Norby (R)23.2%3.0

5. Xavier Edwards (R)18.9%2.9

6. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%2.0

7. Owen Caissie (L)31.0%2.0

8. Liam Hicks (L)16.9%2.0

9. Jakob Marsee (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB24.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.4%3.0

2. Joc Pederson (L)25.7%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)23.7%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)23.6%3.0

5. Josh Jung (R)20.9%3.0

6. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.1%2.1

7. Danny Jansen (R)24.9%2.0

8. Evan Carter (L)24.0%2.0

9. Sam Haggerty (R)28.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.5%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Angel Martínez (L)25.1%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)14.8%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)17.0%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)27.1%3.0

5. George Valera (L)18.6%2.9

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.9%2.0

7. Juan Brito (L)23.8%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)23.3%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)21.2%3.0

2. Dylan Moore (R)24.5%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)18.5%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)26.9%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)20.0%3.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.0%2.2

7. Alec Bohm (R)21.0%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)19.9%2.0

9. Garrett Stubbs (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.7%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.1%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)16.8%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)27.8%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.9%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)21.9%2.6

7. Nathan Church (L)23.3%2.0

8. Yohel Pozo (R)19.1%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Andrew Benintendi (L)24.6%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.6%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)17.7%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)26.7%3.0

5. Everson Pereira (R)23.6%2.3

6. Tanner Murray (R)22.0%2.0

7. Chase Meidroth (R)20.3%2.0

8. Derek Hill (R)25.8%2.0

9. Drew Romo (L)27.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF

vs LHB25.4%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.4%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)19.8%3.0

3. Luis García Jr. (L)23.4%3.0

4. Brady House (R)26.1%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)20.9%2.2

6. Brad Lord (R)22.0%2.0

7. Joey Wiemer (R)26.9%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)23.5%2.0

9. Drew Millas (R)28.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)19.5%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)23.4%3.0

3. Aaron Judge (R)24.4%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.7%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.1%3.0

6. Amed Rosario (R)21.4%2.5

7. Austin Wells (L)19.9%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)25.2%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)28.1%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)9.8%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)20.0%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)28.6%3.0

5. Casey Schmitt (R)22.1%2.8

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)15.3%2.0

7. Heliot Ramos (R)24.6%2.0

8. Drew Gilbert (L)21.3%2.0

9. Patrick Bailey (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB25.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)23.2%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.2%3.0

3. Jo Adell (R)18.3%3.0

4. Yoán Moncada (R)27.9%2.2

5. Oswald Peraza (R)23.9%2.0

6. Vaughn Grissom (R)17.5%2.0

7. Adam Frazier (L)22.0%2.0

8. Travis d'Arnaud (R)21.6%2.0

9. Josh Lowe (L)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB26.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Myles Straw (R)19.9%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)15.6%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)16.3%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.8%3.0

5. Jesús Sánchez (L)21.3%2.1

6. Daulton Varsho (L)20.6%2.0

7. Davis Schneider (R)25.3%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)19.1%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (R)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.5% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)27.5%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)24.5%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)18.7%3.0

4. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.4%3.0

5. Andruw Monasterio (R)22.4%3.0

6. Jarren Duran (L)21.2%2.5

7. Caleb Durbin (R)18.3%2.0

8. Connor Wong (R)22.3%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.0% K/BF

vs LHB18.8%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)13.0%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)20.7%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.5%3.0

5. Jonny DeLuca (R)19.0%2.7

6. Ben Williamson (R)22.2%2.0

7. Cedric Mullins (L)21.1%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)18.7%2.0

9. Richie Palacios (L)18.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.3% K/BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB26.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)25.1%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.0%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.1%2.3

4. Salvador Perez (R)23.6%2.0

5. Jac Caglianone (L)24.2%2.0

6. Isaac Collins (L)27.4%2.0

7. Michael Massey (L)20.3%2.0

8. Nick Loftin (R)19.3%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.2% K/BF

vs LHB17.6%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nicky Lopez (L)16.6%3.0

2. Michael Busch (L)24.9%3.0

3. Michael Conforto (L)24.7%3.0

4. Matt Shaw (R)21.9%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.6%2.4

6. Moisés Ballesteros (L)19.8%2.0

7. Dansby Swanson (R)21.4%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.9%2.0

9. Miguel Amaya (R)25.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jorge Barrosa (L)31.0%3.0

2. Ketel Marte (L)19.0%3.0

3. Corbin Carroll (L)25.5%3.0

4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)24.1%2.9

5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)18.8%2.0

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.1%2.0

7. Nolan Arenado (R)21.2%2.0

8. Jose Fernandez (R)24.1%2.0

9. Alek Thomas (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)25.4%3.0

2. Freddie Freeman (L)16.0%3.0

3. Santiago Espinal (R)19.9%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)21.1%2.6

5. Alex Call (R)20.0%2.0

6. Dalton Rushing (L)24.2%2.0

7. Andy Pages (R)22.5%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)23.5%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)27.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.2% K/BF

vs LHB17.4%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Brice Turang (L)21.7%3.0

2. William Contreras (R)15.9%3.0

3. Jake Bauers (L)22.4%3.0

4. Tyler Black (L)23.1%3.0

5. Garrett Mitchell (L)31.7%3.0

6. Sal Frelick (L)15.9%2.0

7. Greg Jones (L)23.7%2.0

8. Luis Rengifo (L)17.8%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.2% K/BF

vs LHB16.8%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ramón Laureano (R)26.2%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.6%3.0

3. Jackson Merrill (L)23.9%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.1%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.6%2.6

6. Gavin Sheets (L)21.8%2.0

7. Ty France (R)17.2%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)20.2%2.0

9. Jake Cronenworth (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)23.8%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)17.2%3.0

3. Josh Bell (R)18.7%3.0

4. Ryan Jeffers (R)17.9%3.0

5. Victor Caratini (R)19.2%2.0

6. Luke Keaschall (R)18.0%2.0

7. Matt Wallner (L)27.5%2.0

8. Royce Lewis (R)22.1%2.0

9. Brooks Lee (R)19.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.3% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB16.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Connor Joe (R)24.3%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (R)23.4%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)20.4%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)21.0%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)21.7%3.0

6. J.P. Crawford (L)21.9%2.1

7. Mitch Garver (R)22.1%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)19.1%2.0

9. Leo Rivas (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB16.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)17.5%3.0

2. Matt Vierling (R)22.6%3.0

3. Colt Keith (L)20.0%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)23.1%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)18.6%2.6

6. Jahmai Jones (R)23.1%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)26.5%2.0

8. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.6%2.0

9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Saturday, April 25, 2026

Zack Wheeler (PHI) is the top strikeout start on the Saturday, April 25, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K, with Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Zack Wheeler

Zack Wheeler (PHI) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K against ATL. He's missing bats at a 30% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and ATL has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (73) — about 6.5 K vs PIT: a 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) (62) — about 6.0 K vs ATH: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Garrett Crochet (BOS) (54) — about 5.8 K vs BAL: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Ryan Weathers (NYY) (54) — about 5.7 K vs HOU: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Jack Flaherty (DET) (52) — about 5.7 K vs CIN: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

TEX is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jeffrey Springs is the arm to exploit it (45).
WSH is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Noah Schultz is the arm to exploit it (39).
CWS is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jake Irvin is the arm to exploit it (40).
ATH is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — MacKenzie Gore is the arm to exploit it (62).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.0 strikeouts. Top play Zack Wheeler punched out 6. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, April 25, 2026)?: Zack Wheeler (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K against ATL. A 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Saturday, April 25, 2026: Zack Wheeler (~6.6 K), Jacob Misiorowski (~6.5 K), MacKenzie Gore (~6.0 K), Garrett Crochet (~5.8 K), Ryan Weathers (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Saturday, April 25, 2026?: Zack Wheeler punched out 6.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.